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Model 1.2 published 24 Oct 21:42

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FKF Premier League

KENYA · 2026/27 · 18 CLUBS · 20 PLAYED

Coming up

KENYAFKF Premier League 5 matches

MATCHOUR PREDICTION %

Nairobi UnitedTO WIN

~~HOME~~40%

~~DRAW~~30%

~~AWAY~~30%

AFC LeopardsTO WIN

~~HOME~~43%

~~DRAW~~31%

~~AWAY~~26%

Latest results

24 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 3 matches

MATCHSCORE

Right~~GOR Mahia win · 50%~~

24 OctFT

Migori Youth

Mathare United

0–0

Wrong~~Ulinzi Stars win · 36%~~

League table

Top six

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	GOR Mahia	3	+4	9
2	Mara Sugar	3	+1	5
3	AFC Leopards	2	+1	4
4	Homeboyz	2	+1	4
5	Shabana	2	+1	4
6	KCB	3	0	4

Official standings · updated 24 Oct 17:31

League performance

7 of 13 right

Our record · result predictions

~~Right / graded~~7 / 13

~~Accuracy~~From 60 graded

FKF Premier League in our data · since 2021 · through 23 Oct

~~Matches analysed~~1,542

~~Home wins~~35%

~~Draws~~32%

~~Over 2.5 goals~~35%

How we calculate this

Accuracy is the share of graded result predictions we called right. Calibration measures the gap between predicted probabilities and outcomes. Brier measures probability error; lower is better for both. Market comparisons use bookmaker consensus on matched predictions. League data summarises past matches, separately from the prediction record.

Match highlights

via YouTube

    
      GOR Mahia1
      Bandari0
      Find on YouTuberight · 50%
        
      Migori Youth0
      Mathare United0
      Find on YouTubeno prediction
        
      Ulinzi Stars0
      Mara Sugar0
      Find on YouTubewrong · 36%
        
      Posta Rangers FC1
      KCB0
      Find on YouTubewrong · 40%
        
      Kenya Police1
      AFC Leopards2
      Find on YouTubeno prediction
      

FKF Premier League

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS	FORM	QUALIFICATION
1	GOR Mahia	3	3	0	0	6	2	+4	9	WWW	CAF Champions League qualifying
2	Mara Sugar	3	1	2	0	4	3	+1	5	DWD	–
3	AFC Leopards	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4	DW	–
4	Homeboyz	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4	WD	–
5	Shabana	2	1	1	0	1	0	+1	4	WD	–
6	KCB	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4	DWL	–
7	Murang'a SEAL	2	1	0	1	7	5	+2	3	LW	–
8	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3	W	–
9	Posta Rangers FC	3	1	0	2	2	6	−4	3	LLW	–
10	3K	2	0	2	0	3	3	0	2	DD	–
11	Nairobi United	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	2	DD	–
12	Bandari	3	0	2	1	1	2	−1	2	DDL	–
13	Ulinzi Stars	3	0	2	1	1	3	−2	2	LDD	–
14	Migori Youth	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D	–
15	Kenya Police	2	0	1	1	2	3	−1	1	DL	–
16	Mathare United	2	0	1	1	0	1	−1	1	DL	Relegation
17	APS Bomet	2	0	1	1	0	1	−1	1	DL	Relegation
18	Mombasa Elite	2	0	0	2	1	3	−2	0	LL	Relegation

Form: the last five matches, latest on the right.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	GOR Mahia	3	+4	9
2	Mara Sugar	3	+1	5
3	AFC Leopards	2	+1	4
4	Homeboyz	2	+1	4
5	Shabana	2	+1	4
6	KCB	3	0	4
7	Murang'a SEAL	2	+2	3
8	Tusker	1	+2	3
9	Posta Rangers FC	3	−4	3
10	3K	2	0	2
11	Nairobi United	2	0	2
12	Bandari	3	−1	2
13	Ulinzi Stars	3	−2	2
14	Migori Youth	1	0	1
15	Kenya Police	2	−1	1
16	Mathare United	2	−1	1
17	APS Bomet	2	−1	1
18	Mombasa Elite	2	−2	0

Full statistics and form

#	TEAM	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS	FORM	QUALIFICATION
1	GOR Mahia	3	3	0	0	6	2	+4	9	WWW	CAF Champions League qualifying
2	Mara Sugar	3	1	2	0	4	3	+1	5	DWD	–
3	AFC Leopards	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4	DW	–
4	Homeboyz	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4	WD	–
5	Shabana	2	1	1	0	1	0	+1	4	WD	–
6	KCB	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4	DWL	–
7	Murang'a SEAL	2	1	0	1	7	5	+2	3	LW	–
8	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3	W	–
9	Posta Rangers FC	3	1	0	2	2	6	−4	3	LLW	–
10	3K	2	0	2	0	3	3	0	2	DD	–
11	Nairobi United	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	2	DD	–
12	Bandari	3	0	2	1	1	2	−1	2	DDL	–
13	Ulinzi Stars	3	0	2	1	1	3	−2	2	LDD	–
14	Migori Youth	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D	–
15	Kenya Police	2	0	1	1	2	3	−1	1	DL	–
16	Mathare United	2	0	1	1	0	1	−1	1	DL	Relegation
17	APS Bomet	2	0	1	1	0	1	−1	1	DL	Relegation
18	Mombasa Elite	2	0	0	2	1	3	−2	0	LL	Relegation

Form: the last five matches, latest on the right.

Official standings · updated 24 Oct 17:31.

Fixtures in the next seven days; later matches appear as their dates come round.

Sunday 25 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 4 matches

MATCHOUR PREDICTION %

Nairobi UnitedTO WIN

~~HOME~~40%

~~DRAW~~30%

~~AWAY~~30%

AFC LeopardsTO WIN

~~HOME~~43%

~~DRAW~~31%

~~AWAY~~26%

Wednesday 28 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 7 matches

MATCHOUR PREDICTION %

Posta Rangers FC

~~HOME~~42%

~~DRAW~~33%

~~AWAY~~25%

GOR MahiaTO WIN

~~HOME~~28%

~~DRAW~~29%

~~AWAY~~43%

AFC LeopardsTO WIN

~~HOME~~27%

~~DRAW~~31%

~~AWAY~~41%

Nairobi UnitedTO WIN

~~HOME~~33%

~~DRAW~~27%

~~AWAY~~40%

Thursday 29 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 2 matches

MATCHOUR PREDICTION %

~~HOME~~27%

~~DRAW~~32%

~~AWAY~~42%

Saturday 24 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 3 matches

MATCHSCORE

Right~~GOR Mahia win · 50%~~

24 OctFT

Migori Youth

Mathare United

0–0

Wrong~~Ulinzi Stars win · 36%~~

Friday 23 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 1 match

MATCHSCORE

Posta Rangers FC

Wrong~~KCB win · 40%~~

Tuesday 20 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 1 match

MATCHSCORE

20 OctFT

Kenya Police

AFC Leopards

1–2

Monday 19 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 2 matches

MATCHSCORE

19 OctFT

Bandari

3K

1–1

19 OctFT

Mara Sugar

Mombasa Elite

2–1

Sunday 18 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 3 matches

MATCHSCORE

Wrong~~Homeboyz win · 45%~~

Posta Rangers FC

Right~~Murang'a SEAL win · 40%~~

Wrong~~Shabana win · 36%~~

Saturday 17 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 2 matches

MATCHSCORE

Right~~GOR Mahia win · 47%~~

Right~~KCB win · 44%~~

Wednesday 14 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 2 matches

MATCHSCORE

Wrong~~AFC Leopards win · 41%~~

14 OctFT

Mombasa Elite

Homeboyz

0–1

Tuesday 13 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 1 match

MATCHSCORE

Right~~GOR Mahia win · 57%~~

Sunday 11 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 4 matches

MATCHSCORE

11 OctFT

3K

Mara Sugar

2–2

11 OctFT

Migori Youth

Kenya Police

1–1

11 OctFT

Nairobi United

KCB

2–2

Right~~Tusker win · 35%~~

Saturday 10 Oct

KENYAFKF Premier League 2 matches

MATCHSCORE

Wrong~~APS Bomet win · 41%~~

Posta Rangers FC

Right~~Shabana win · 40%~~

No player statistics available for this season.

Points

TEAM	TOTAL	P
GOR Mahia	9	3
Mara Sugar	5	3
AFC Leopards	4	2
Homeboyz	4	2
Shabana	4	2
KCB	4	3
Murang'a SEAL	3	2
Tusker	3	1
Posta Rangers FC	3	3
3K	2	2
Nairobi United	2	2
Bandari	2	3
Ulinzi Stars	2	3
Migori Youth	1	1
Kenya Police	1	2
Mathare United	1	2
APS Bomet	1	2
Mombasa Elite	0	2

Wins

TEAM	TOTAL	P
GOR Mahia	3	3
Mara Sugar	1	3
AFC Leopards	1	2
Homeboyz	1	2
Shabana	1	2
KCB	1	3
Murang'a SEAL	1	2
Tusker	1	1
Posta Rangers FC	1	3
3K	0	2
Nairobi United	0	2
Bandari	0	3
Ulinzi Stars	0	3
Migori Youth	0	1
Kenya Police	0	2
Mathare United	0	2
APS Bomet	0	2
Mombasa Elite	0	2

Draws

TEAM	TOTAL	P
Mara Sugar	2	3
3K	2	2
Nairobi United	2	2
Bandari	2	3
Ulinzi Stars	2	3
AFC Leopards	1	2
Homeboyz	1	2
Shabana	1	2
KCB	1	3
Migori Youth	1	1
Kenya Police	1	2
Mathare United	1	2
APS Bomet	1	2
GOR Mahia	0	3
Murang'a SEAL	0	2
Tusker	0	1
Posta Rangers FC	0	3
Mombasa Elite	0	2

Fewest defeats

TEAM	TOTAL	P
GOR Mahia	0	3
Mara Sugar	0	3
AFC Leopards	0	2
Homeboyz	0	2
Shabana	0	2
Tusker	0	1
3K	0	2
Nairobi United	0	2
Migori Youth	0	1
KCB	1	3
Murang'a SEAL	1	2
Bandari	1	3
Ulinzi Stars	1	3
Kenya Police	1	2
Mathare United	1	2
APS Bomet	1	2
Posta Rangers FC	2	3
Mombasa Elite	2	2

Goals scored

TEAM	TOTAL	P
Murang'a SEAL	7	2
GOR Mahia	6	3
Mara Sugar	4	3
KCB	3	3
3K	3	2
AFC Leopards	2	2
Homeboyz	2	2
Tusker	2	1
Posta Rangers FC	2	3
Nairobi United	2	2
Kenya Police	2	2
Shabana	1	2
Bandari	1	3
Ulinzi Stars	1	3
Migori Youth	1	1
Mombasa Elite	1	2
Mathare United	0	2
APS Bomet	0	2

Fewest goals conceded

TEAM	TOTAL	P
Shabana	0	2
Tusker	0	1
AFC Leopards	1	2
Homeboyz	1	2
Migori Youth	1	1
Mathare United	1	2
APS Bomet	1	2
GOR Mahia	2	3
Nairobi United	2	2
Bandari	2	3
Mara Sugar	3	3
KCB	3	3
3K	3	2
Ulinzi Stars	3	3
Kenya Police	3	2
Mombasa Elite	3	2
Murang'a SEAL	5	2
Posta Rangers FC	6	3

Goal difference

TEAM	TOTAL	P
GOR Mahia	4	3
Murang'a SEAL	2	2
Tusker	2	1
Mara Sugar	1	3
AFC Leopards	1	2
Homeboyz	1	2
Shabana	1	2
KCB	0	3
3K	0	2
Nairobi United	0	2
Migori Youth	0	1
Bandari	-1	3
Kenya Police	-1	2
Mathare United	-1	2
APS Bomet	-1	2
Ulinzi Stars	-2	3
Mombasa Elite	-2	2
Posta Rangers FC	-4	3

Home wins

TEAM	TOTAL	P
GOR Mahia	2	2
Mara Sugar	1	1
KCB	1	1
Murang'a SEAL	1	1
Posta Rangers FC	1	2
AFC Leopards	0	1
Homeboyz	0	1
Shabana	0	1
3K	0	1
Nairobi United	0	1
Bandari	0	1
Ulinzi Stars	0	2
Migori Youth	0	1
Kenya Police	0	1
APS Bomet	0	1
Mombasa Elite	0	1

Away wins

TEAM	TOTAL	P
GOR Mahia	1	1
AFC Leopards	1	1
Homeboyz	1	1
Shabana	1	1
Tusker	1	1
Mara Sugar	0	2
KCB	0	2
Murang'a SEAL	0	1
Posta Rangers FC	0	1
3K	0	1
Nairobi United	0	1
Bandari	0	2
Ulinzi Stars	0	1
Kenya Police	0	1
Mathare United	0	2
APS Bomet	0	1
Mombasa Elite	0	1

Clean sheets

TEAM	TOTAL	P
GOR Mahia	2	3
Shabana	2	2
Mara Sugar	1	3
AFC Leopards	1	2
Homeboyz	1	2
KCB	1	3
Tusker	1	1
Posta Rangers FC	1	3
Nairobi United	1	2
Bandari	1	3
Ulinzi Stars	1	3
Migori Youth	1	1
Mathare United	1	2
APS Bomet	1	2
Murang'a SEAL	0	2
3K	0	2
Kenya Police	0	2
Mombasa Elite	0	2

Failed to score

TEAM	TOTAL	P
Bandari	2	3
Ulinzi Stars	2	3
Mathare United	2	2
APS Bomet	2	2
Mara Sugar	1	3
AFC Leopards	1	2
Shabana	1	2
KCB	1	3
Posta Rangers FC	1	3
Nairobi United	1	2
Migori Youth	1	1
Mombasa Elite	1	2
GOR Mahia	0	3
Homeboyz	0	2
Murang'a SEAL	0	2
Tusker	0	1
3K	0	2
Kenya Police	0	2

Scored per match

TEAM	AVG	P
Murang'a SEAL	3.5	2
GOR Mahia	2.0	3
Tusker	2.0	1
3K	1.5	2
Mara Sugar	1.33	3
AFC Leopards	1.0	2
Homeboyz	1.0	2
KCB	1.0	3
Nairobi United	1.0	2
Kenya Police	1.0	2
Posta Rangers FC	0.67	3
Shabana	0.5	2
Mombasa Elite	0.5	2
Bandari	0.33	3
Ulinzi Stars	0.33	3
Migori Youth	0.0	1
Mathare United	0.0	2
APS Bomet	0.0	2

Both teams scored

TEAM	RATE	P
Murang'a SEAL	100.0%	2
3K	100.0%	2
Kenya Police	100.0%	2
Mara Sugar	66.7%	3
AFC Leopards	50.0%	2
Homeboyz	50.0%	2
Nairobi United	50.0%	2
Mombasa Elite	50.0%	2
GOR Mahia	33.3%	3
KCB	33.3%	3
Posta Rangers FC	33.3%	3
Bandari	33.3%	3
Ulinzi Stars	33.3%	3
Shabana	0.0%	2
Tusker	0.0%	1
Migori Youth	0.0%	1
Mathare United	0.0%	2
APS Bomet	0.0%	2

Over 2.5 goals

TEAM	RATE	P
Murang'a SEAL	100.0%	2
Mara Sugar	66.7%	3
AFC Leopards	50.0%	2
3K	50.0%	2
Nairobi United	50.0%	2
Kenya Police	50.0%	2
Mombasa Elite	50.0%	2
GOR Mahia	33.3%	3
KCB	33.3%	3
Posta Rangers FC	33.3%	3
Homeboyz	0.0%	2
Shabana	0.0%	2
Tusker	0.0%	1
Bandari	0.0%	3
Ulinzi Stars	0.0%	3
Migori Youth	0.0%	1
Mathare United	0.0%	2
APS Bomet	0.0%	2

Longest winning run

TEAM	TOTAL	P
GOR Mahia	3	3
Mara Sugar	1	3
AFC Leopards	1	2
Homeboyz	1	2
Shabana	1	2
KCB	1	3
Murang'a SEAL	1	2
Tusker	1	1
Posta Rangers FC	1	3
3K	0	2
Nairobi United	0	2
Bandari	0	3
Ulinzi Stars	0	3
Migori Youth	0	1
Kenya Police	0	2
Mathare United	0	2
APS Bomet	0	2
Mombasa Elite	0	2

Points, results and goals follow the official standings; home and away wins, clean sheets, scoring rates and runs are counted from results. Teams may have played different numbers of matches.