Home › Football › FKF Premier League › Mathare United v APS Bomet
Mathare United v APS Bomet
FKF Premier League · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said APS Bomet win at 41%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: APS Bomet was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 29–30–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Mathare United v APS Bomet
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was APS Bomet win 33%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Mathare United 0–0 APS Bomet
- 46′SECOND HALF Mathare United 0–0 APS Bomet
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' APS Bomet win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
- 66′We said APS Bomet at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 0–0 · 17–61–22
- 86′We said APS Bomet at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 0–0 · 4–91–5
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' APS Bomet win: 41% at kick-off, 5% now
- FTFULL TIME Mathare United 0–0 APS Bomet
- FTMathare United 0–0 APS Bomet · APS Bomet win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 12:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make APS Bomet a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.2.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 36% to 35% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathare United win | 29% | 34% | −5 |
| Draw | 30% | 31% | −1 |
| APS Bomet win | 41% | 35% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 36% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 44% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 61% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 18% | −1 |
| Mathare United or draw | 59% | 65% | −7 |
| Mathare United clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| APS Bomet clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025Form · last six in FKF Premier League
MATHARE UNITED
APS BOMET
The table
No league table for this competition.