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Posta Rangers FC v Shabana

Posta Rangers FC
0–1Full time
Shabana

FKF Premier League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:52
Posta Rangers FC 0–1 Shabana SHABANA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Shabana win40%
The market said39%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.543
The market’s Brier score0.552

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 8 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Shabana win at 40%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Posta Rangers FC v Shabana
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Shabana 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 31–29–40
  4. 11′🟥 RED CARD · 10' Posta Rangers FC
  5. 19′Posta Rangers FC are down to ten from 10′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 29–33–37
  6. 29′🟥 RED CARD · 10' Posta Rangers FC
  7. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Shabana win 34%)
  8. 45′HALF-TIME Posta Rangers FC 0–0 Shabana
  9. 46′SECOND HALF Posta Rangers FC 0–0 Shabana
  10. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Posta Rangers FC 0–1 Shabana
  11. FTFULL TIME Posta Rangers FC 0–1 Shabana
  12. FTPosta Rangers FC 0–1 Shabana · Shabana win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Posta Rangers FC win31%
Draw30%
Shabana win40%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:15

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · shabana winPublished 10 Oct 14:16
40% The market39%
Us40%
Market39%

We make Shabana a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.0–1.2.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Posta Rangers FC win31%30%+1
Draw30%31%−2
Shabana win40%39%+1
Over 2.5 goals38%36%+2
Both teams to score45%44%+1
Over 1.5 goals65%61%+4
Over 3.5 goals19%18%0
Posta Rangers FC or draw60%61%−1
Posta Rangers FC clean sheet30%––
Shabana clean sheet36%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%
0123450 11.5 12.6 7.8 3.2 1 10.6 13.4 7.8 3.2 2 5.6 6.6 4.0 3 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Posta Rangers FC down, Shabana across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting2.83
Over 2.54 of 6
Both scored4 of 6
Last meetingsPOS 0–2 SHA · SHA 1–2 POS · POS 2–1 SHA · SHA 1–1 POS

Form · last six in FKF Premier League

POSTA RANGERS FC

DDWDWL1–1 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 0–1

SHABANA

DDLWDL0–0 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–2

The table

No league table for this competition.