Shabana v Nairobi United

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Shabana win at 36%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Shabana was 36% before kick-off and our model makes it 36% now. 0–0 · 36–29–35
3. 1′KICK-OFF Shabana v Nairobi United
4. 30′THE CALL SWINGS · 30' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Shabana win 32%)
5. 45′SECOND HALF Shabana 0–0 Nairobi United
6. 46′HALF-TIME Shabana 0–0 Nairobi United
7. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Shabana win: 36% at kick-off, 26% now
8. 58′We said Shabana at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–52–24
9. 68′We said Shabana at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–62–19
10. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Shabana win: 36% at kick-off, 16% now
11. 76′We said Shabana at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–72–14
12. 82′We said Shabana at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–82–9
13. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Shabana win: 36% at kick-off, 6% now
14. 89′We said Shabana at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
15. 94′Full time, 0–0. We called Shabana at 36% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
16. FTFULL TIME Shabana 0–0 Nairobi United
17. FTShabana 0–0 Nairobi United · Shabana win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.