Ulinzi Stars v Mara Sugar

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ulinzi Stars win at 36%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Ulinzi Stars was 36% before kick-off and our model makes it 36% now. 0–0 · 36–32–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ulinzi Stars v Mara Sugar
4. 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Ulinzi Stars win 34%)
5. 45′SECOND HALF Ulinzi Stars 0–0 Mara Sugar
6. 46′HALF-TIME Ulinzi Stars 0–0 Mara Sugar
7. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Ulinzi Stars win: 36% at kick-off, 26% now
8. 54′We said Ulinzi Stars at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–53–22
9. 65′We said Ulinzi Stars at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–63–18
10. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Ulinzi Stars win: 36% at kick-off, 16% now
11. 74′We said Ulinzi Stars at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–73–13
12. 81′We said Ulinzi Stars at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–8
13. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Ulinzi Stars win: 36% at kick-off, 6% now
14. 88′We said Ulinzi Stars at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
15. 94′Full time, 0–0. We called Ulinzi Stars at 36% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
16. FTFULL TIME Ulinzi Stars 0–0 Mara Sugar
17. FTUlinzi Stars 0–0 Mara Sugar · Ulinzi Stars win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.