Guadalajara Chivas v Tigres UANL

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Guadalajara Chivas win at 42%.
2. 2′KICK-OFF Guadalajara Chivas v Tigres UANL
3. 3′Much as we predicted: Guadalajara Chivas was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–30–28
4. 36′Tigres UANL find the net on 36′. 0–0 · 36–38–26
5. 37′We said Guadalajara Chivas at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–24–64
6. 37′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 12–24–64
7. 37′⚽ GOAL · 36' Guadalajara Chivas 0–1 Tigres UANL · Juan Brunetta
8. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Guadalajara Chivas win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
9. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Tigres UANL win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Guadalajara Chivas win 12%)
10. 45′Guadalajara Chivas have had 10 attempts to 5 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 10–24–66
11. 45′HALF-TIME Guadalajara Chivas 0–1 Tigres UANL
12. 45′SECOND HALF Guadalajara Chivas 0–1 Tigres UANL
13. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Guadalajara Chivas · On: Bryan Gonzalez · Off: Leonel Calderón Oviedo
14. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Guadalajara Chivas · On: Ricardo Marín · Off: Ángel Sepúlveda
15. 47′A red card for Tigres UANL on 45′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 9–24–67
16. 47′We said Guadalajara Chivas at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
17. 47′🟥 RED CARD · 45+2' Juan Brunetta · Tigres UANL
18. 49′Guadalajara Chivas have had 12 attempts to 5 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 9–23–68
19. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Santiago Sandoval · Guadalajara Chivas
20. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Tigres UANL · On: Emiliano Gómez · Off: Rodrigo Aguirre
21. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Tigres UANL · On: Ricardo Monreal · Off: Diego Sánchez
22. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Tigres UANL · On: Jesús Garza · Off: Diego Lainez
23. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Guadalajara Chivas · On: Richard Ledezma · Off: Luis Rey
24. 66′We said Guadalajara Chivas at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
25. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Fernando González · Guadalajara Chivas
26. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Guadalajara Chivas win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
27. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Guadalajara Chivas · On: Jordan Carrillo · Off: Fernando González
28. 75′17 shots for Guadalajara Chivas, 6 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 2–15–83
29. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Tigres UANL · On: Vladimir Loroña · Off: Joaquim Pereira
30. 79′77′: Jordan Carrillo on the scoresheet for Guadalajara Chivas, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 14–76–10
31. 79′⚽ GOAL · 77' Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Tigres UANL · Jordan Carrillo (assist Bryan Gonzalez)
32. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Guadalajara Chivas win: 42% at kick-off, 14% now
33. 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Draw is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Tigres UANL win 10%)
34. 81′21 shots for Guadalajara Chivas, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 11–80–9
35. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Guadalajara Chivas · On: Jesús Hernández · Off: Santiago Sandoval
36. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Tigres UANL · On: Jonathan Herrera · Off: Fernando Gorriarán
37. 92′27 shots for Guadalajara Chivas, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 3–95–2
38. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Guadalajara Chivas win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
39. 99′29 shots for Guadalajara Chivas, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 1–97–1
40. FTFULL TIME Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Tigres UANL
41. FTGuadalajara Chivas 1–1 Tigres UANL · Guadalajara Chivas win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.