Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Guadalajara Chivas win at 61%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Guadalajara Chivas was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 60% now. 0–0 · 60–23–17
3. 1′KICK-OFF Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa
4. 15′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Miguel Rodriguez · Necaxa
5. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Guadalajara Chivas win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
6. 41′We said Guadalajara Chivas at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–33–17
7. 45′HALF-TIME Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 Necaxa
8. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Guadalajara Chivas · On: Hugo Camberos · Off: Leonel Calderón Oviedo
9. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Necaxa · On: Raúl Martínez · Off: Emilio Martínez
10. 45′SECOND HALF Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 Necaxa
11. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Guadalajara Chivas · On: Santiago Sandoval · Off: Jordan Carrillo
12. 50′Guadalajara Chivas have had 8 attempts to 3 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 45–38–17
13. 52′We said Guadalajara Chivas at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–39–17
14. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Necaxa · On: Julián Carranza · Off: Juan Valencia
15. 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 47–35–17
16. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Necaxa · On: Owen González · Off: Miguel Rodriguez
17. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Guadalajara Chivas win: 61% at kick-off, 41% now
18. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Guadalajara Chivas win 42%)
19. 60′We said Guadalajara Chivas at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–46–15
20. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Guadalajara Chivas · On: Bryan Gonzalez · Off: Diego Campillo
21. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Guadalajara Chivas · On: Kevin Castañeda · Off: Richard Ledezma
22. 66′We said Guadalajara Chivas at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–52–14
23. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Guadalajara Chivas win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
24. 72′We said Guadalajara Chivas at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–60–12
25. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Guadalajara Chivas · On: Jesús Hernández · Off: Efrain Alvarez
26. 76′We said Guadalajara Chivas at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–66–10
27. 77′We published Guadalajara Chivas at 61%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
28. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 Necaxa
29. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Guadalajara Chivas win: 61% at kick-off, 90% now
30. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Guadalajara Chivas win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 68%)
31. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Guadalajara Chivas win: 61% at kick-off, 91% now
32. 79′Guadalajara Chivas ahead on 77′ through an own goal by Agustin Oliveros. 1–0. 1–0 · 91–8–1
33. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Necaxa · On: Joshua Alejandro Palacios Pulido · Off: Lorenzo Faravelli
34. 84′We published Guadalajara Chivas at 61%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
35. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Necaxa · On: Miguel Pedroza · Off: Diego Ochoa
36. FTFULL TIME Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 Necaxa
37. FTGuadalajara Chivas 1–0 Necaxa · Guadalajara Chivas win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.