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Nairobi United v KCB

Nairobi United
2–2Full time
KCB

FKF Premier League · FRI 9 OCT

Not gradedCorrected 16 Oct 17:17

Corrected on 16 Oct: this match was first graded on a score of 2–2. It was played on 11 Oct 14:00, more than three hours after the kick-off we published for, so this prediction is not graded and is not in the record’s figures.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Nairobi United win42%
Draw29%
KCB win29%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nairobi united winPublished 9 Oct 08:30
42% The market49%
Us42%
Market49%

We make Nairobi United a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.0.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Nairobi United win42%49%−7
Draw29%30%−1
KCB win29%22%+7
Over 2.5 goals39%38%+1
Both teams to score45%43%+2
Over 1.5 goals66%63%+3
Over 3.5 goals19%19%0
Nairobi United or draw71%78%−7
Nairobi United clean sheet38%––
KCB clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%
0123450 11.3 10.1 5.2 1 12.9 13.3 6.4 2.1 2 8.3 8.1 4.0 3 3.5 3.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Nairobi United down, KCB across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2026
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsNAI 1–1 KCB · KCB 0–2 NAI

Form · last six in FKF Premier League

NAIROBI UNITED

WWLDDW2–1 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 1–0

KCB

DLDLWW1–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

No league table for this competition.