Wa Power v Northern City prediction · Division One League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Wa PowerDrawNorthern City

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Wa Power 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Wa Power are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Wa Power 54%, draw 23%, Northern City 22%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Wa Power v Northern CityBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Wa Power win54%

Draw23%

Northern City win22%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wa Power

Northern City

13Days since last match14

Last match: 18 Oct · Division One League

Last match: 17 Oct · Division One League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Wa Power	5	0	5
8	Northern City	5	−3	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wa power winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Wa Power a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Wa Power v Northern City~~1.63 – 0.93

~~Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept~~W1 D2 L2 · W0 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 5 v 2~~5 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wa Power win	54%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Northern City win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Wa Power or draw	78%	–	–
Wa Power clean sheet	40%	–	–
Northern City clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.3%

0123450 7.3 8.0 3.4 1 13.3 10.9 5.4 2 10.1 9.3 4.4 3 5.5 5.1 2.4 4 2.3 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wa Power down, Northern City across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 825 Division One League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 24.2% of games this season, across 120 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Wa Power at home: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Northern City away: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for Wa Power, 0.93 for Northern City. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~NOR 1–2 WAP · WAP 1–2 NOR · NOR 1–2 WAP · WAP 1–0 NOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept

WA POWER

DLDWL1–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 0–2

NORTHERN CITY

LDDLL0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27 · Division One League · group 3

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sankara Nationals	5	+4	13
2	Real Tamale	5	+4	10
3	Steadfast	5	+3	8
4	Berekum City	5	−1	7
5	Wa Power	5	0	5
6	Kalibi SC	5	−5	5
7	Tamale City	5	−2	4
8	Northern City	5	−3	2