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Steadfast v Berekum City

Steadfast

3–0Full time

Berekum City

Division One League · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 01:30

Steadfast 3–0 Berekum City STEADFAST WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Steadfast win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.426

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Steadfast win47%

Draw28%

Berekum City win26%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · steadfast winPublished 9 Oct 23:31

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Steadfast a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Steadfast win	47%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Berekum City win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	18%	–	–
Steadfast or draw	74%	–	–
Steadfast clean sheet	43%	–	–
Berekum City clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.4%

0123450 11.8 10.5 4.4 1 15.4 12.1 5.4 2 9.5 7.9 3.4 3 4.2 3.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Steadfast down, Berekum City across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 777 Division One League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 19.4% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Steadfast at home: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). Berekum City away: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.29 goals for Steadfast, 0.86 for Berekum City. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2025

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Division One League

STEADFAST

DWL1–1 · 2–1 · 0–1

BEREKUM CITY

LDW0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Pro-Sports Academy	3	+6	7
2	Mighty Royals	3	+4	7
3	VC Warriors	3	+4	7
4	Koforidua	3	+3	7
5	Inter Allies	3	+3	7
6	WAFA	3	+2	7
7	Nsuopun Fidelity	3	+2	7
8	Sankara Nationals	3	+2	7
9	Ebusua Dwarfs	3	+1	6
10	Bectero Sasana	3	+1	6
11	Ebony FC	3	+1	6
12	Okwawu	3	+1	6
13	Fettehman United	3	+2	5
14	Hakla SC	3	+2	5
15	True Democracy	3	+1	5
16	Elmina Sharks	3	+1	5
17	Nations	3	+1	5
18	Real Tamale	3	+2	4
19	Golden Kicks	3	+1	4
20	Techiman Liberty	3	+1	4
21	Accra Lions	3	0	4
22	Steadfast	3	0	4
23	Tamale City	3	0	4
24	Berekum City	3	0	4
25	Dormaa	3	0	4
26	King Faisal	3	0	4
27	Yapei	3	0	4
28	Nania	3	−1	4
29	Kalibi SC	3	−2	4
30	Sefwi All Stars	3	0	3
31	7th Wave	3	0	3
32	Soccer Intellectuals	3	0	3
33	Home Stars	3	0	3
34	Ebiemo FC	3	−1	3
35	Skyy	3	−2	3
36	Future Stars	3	−5	3
37	Attram de Visser	3	−1	2
38	Wa Power	3	−1	2
39	Northern City	3	−1	2
40	Kotoku Royals	3	−2	2
41	Great Olympics	3	−2	1
42	PAC Academy	3	−2	1
43	Rospak	3	−2	1
44	New Edubiase	3	−2	1
45	Nukunu	3	−3	1
46	Eleven Wonders	3	−4	1
47	Golden Warriors	3	−4	0
48	KAC Soccer	3	−6	0