Skyy v King Faisal prediction · Division One League

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 01:30

Skyy 3–0 King Faisal SKYY WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Skyy win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.355

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Skyy win51%

Draw26%

King Faisal win23%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Skyy

King Faisal

8Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
26	King Faisal	3	0	4
36	Skyy	3	−2	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · skyy winPublished 11 Oct 23:32

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Skyy a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Skyy win	51%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
King Faisal win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Skyy or draw	77%	–	–
Skyy clean sheet	43%	–	–
King Faisal clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.1%

0123450 9.9 9.1 3.7 1 15.1 11.7 5.2 2 10.5 8.7 3.7 3 5.1 4.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Skyy down, King Faisal across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 788 Division One League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 22.9% of games this season, across 83 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Skyy at home: 2.17 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). King Faisal away: 0.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Skyy, 0.85 for King Faisal. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SKY 1–3 KIN · KIN 0–0 SKY

Form · last six in Division One League

SKYY

LWLLLW1–2 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 1–0

KING FAISAL

LWLWDL0–1 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	VC Warriors	4	+7	10
2	Koforidua	4	+6	10
3	Sankara Nationals	4	+3	10
4	Hakla SC	4	+3	8
5	Inter Allies	4	+3	8
6	Nations	4	+3	8
7	Pro-Sports Academy	4	+5	7
8	Mighty Royals	3	+4	7
9	Real Tamale	4	+3	7
10	Steadfast	4	+3	7
11	WAFA	3	+2	7
12	Nsuopun Fidelity	3	+2	7
13	Nania	4	+1	7
14	Okwawu	4	+1	7
15	Ebusua Dwarfs	3	+1	6
16	Bectero Sasana	3	+1	6
17	Ebony FC	3	+1	6
18	Ebiemo FC	4	0	6
19	Fettehman United	3	+2	5
20	True Democracy	3	+1	5
21	Elmina Sharks	4	−1	5
22	Golden Kicks	3	+1	4
23	Techiman Liberty	3	+1	4
24	Accra Lions	3	0	4
25	Dormaa	3	0	4
26	King Faisal	3	0	4
27	Tamale City	4	−1	4
28	Rospak	4	−1	4
29	Kalibi SC	3	−2	4
30	Yapei	4	−3	4
31	Berekum City	4	−3	4
32	Sefwi All Stars	3	0	3
33	7th Wave	3	0	3
34	Soccer Intellectuals	3	0	3
35	Home Stars	3	0	3
36	Skyy	3	−2	3
37	Future Stars	3	−5	3
38	Wa Power	3	−1	2
39	Kotoku Royals	3	−2	2
40	Northern City	4	−2	2
41	Attram de Visser	4	−3	2
42	PAC Academy	3	−2	1
43	Great Olympics	4	−3	1
44	New Edubiase	4	−3	1
45	Eleven Wonders	3	−4	1
46	Nukunu	4	−6	1
47	Golden Warriors	3	−4	0
48	KAC Soccer	3	−6	0