Rospak v Elmina Sharks prediction · Division One League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

RospakDrawElmina Sharks

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Rospak 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rospak are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rospak 53%, draw 26%, Elmina Sharks 21%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Rospak v Elmina SharksBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Rospak win53%

Draw26%

Elmina Sharks win21%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rospak

Elmina Sharks

13Days since last match13

Last match: 18 Oct · Division One League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Elmina Sharks	5	0	8
12	Rospak	5	−2	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rospak winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Rospak a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rospak v Elmina Sharks~~1.44 – 0.79

~~Form · Division One League this season · since 20 Sept~~W1 D1 L3 · W2 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 4 v 8~~12 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rospak win	53%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Elmina Sharks win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	38%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	64%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Rospak or draw	79%	–	–
Rospak clean sheet	46%	–	–
Elmina Sharks clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.2%

0123450 10.3 9.2 3.4 1 16.2 11.4 4.7 2 11.1 8.6 3.4 3 5.4 4.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rospak down, Elmina Sharks across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 825 Division One League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 24.2% of games this season, across 120 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rospak at home: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Elmina Sharks away: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Rospak, 0.79 for Elmina Sharks. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ROS 1–1 ELM · ELM 1–3 ROS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division One League this season · since 20 Sept

ROSPAK

LDLWL0–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–1

ELMINA SHARKS

DDWLW0–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27 · Division One League · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ebusua Dwarfs	5	+3	12
2	Nations	5	+4	11
3	Pro-Sports Academy	5	+6	10
4	Ebony FC	5	+2	10
5	Soccer Intellectuals	5	+2	9
6	Nsuopun Fidelity	5	+1	8
7	Elmina Sharks	5	0	8
8	Fettehman United	5	+2	7
9	Skyy	5	+1	7
10	Ebiemo FC	5	−1	6
11	PAC Academy	5	−1	5
12	Rospak	5	−2	4
13	King Faisal	5	−4	4
14	Sefwi All Stars	5	−2	3
15	Future Stars	5	−7	3
16	New Edubiase	5	−4	1