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Real Tamale v Northern City

Real Tamale

1–0Full time

Northern City

Division One League · SAT 10 OCT · Aliu Mahama sports stadium

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Real Tamale 1–0 Northern City REAL TAMALE WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Real Tamale win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.239

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Real Tamale win60%

Draw22%

Northern City win18%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

Venue · Aliu Mahama sports stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · real tamale winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Real Tamale a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Real Tamale win	60%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Northern City win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Real Tamale or draw	82%	–	–
Real Tamale clean sheet	44%	–	–
Northern City clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.3%

0123450 7.2 6.4 2.6 1 13.3 10.4 4.5 2 11.5 9.4 4.0 3 6.9 5.7 2.4 4 3.2 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Real Tamale down, Northern City across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 781 Division One League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 22.4% of games this season, across 76 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Real Tamale at home: 2.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Northern City away: 1.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.80 goals for Real Tamale, 0.84 for Northern City. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~REA 2–3 NOR · NOR 0–1 REA · REA 1–0 NOR · NOR 2–3 REA

Form · last six in Division One League

REAL TAMALE

DLLDWL1–1 · 2–3 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 0–1

NORTHERN CITY

WWWLDD3–2 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Koforidua	4	+6	10
2	Inter Allies	4	+3	8
3	Pro-Sports Academy	3	+6	7
4	Mighty Royals	3	+4	7
5	VC Warriors	3	+4	7
6	Steadfast	4	+3	7
7	WAFA	3	+2	7
8	Nsuopun Fidelity	3	+2	7
9	Sankara Nationals	3	+2	7
10	Nania	4	+1	7
11	Okwawu	4	+1	7
12	Ebusua Dwarfs	3	+1	6
13	Bectero Sasana	3	+1	6
14	Ebony FC	3	+1	6
15	Fettehman United	3	+2	5
16	Hakla SC	3	+2	5
17	True Democracy	3	+1	5
18	Elmina Sharks	3	+1	5
19	Nations	3	+1	5
20	Real Tamale	3	+2	4
21	Golden Kicks	3	+1	4
22	Techiman Liberty	3	+1	4
23	Accra Lions	3	0	4
24	Tamale City	3	0	4
25	Dormaa	3	0	4
26	King Faisal	3	0	4
27	Yapei	3	0	4
28	Kalibi SC	3	−2	4
29	Berekum City	4	−3	4
30	Sefwi All Stars	3	0	3
31	7th Wave	3	0	3
32	Soccer Intellectuals	3	0	3
33	Home Stars	3	0	3
34	Ebiemo FC	3	−1	3
35	Skyy	3	−2	3
36	Future Stars	3	−5	3
37	Wa Power	3	−1	2
38	Northern City	3	−1	2
39	Kotoku Royals	3	−2	2
40	Attram de Visser	4	−3	2
41	Great Olympics	3	−2	1
42	PAC Academy	3	−2	1
43	Rospak	3	−2	1
44	New Edubiase	3	−2	1
45	Eleven Wonders	3	−4	1
46	Nukunu	4	−6	1
47	Golden Warriors	3	−4	0
48	KAC Soccer	3	−6	0