Nukunu v Golden Warriors prediction · Division One League

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 03:35

Nukunu 1–0 Golden Warriors NUKUNU WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Nukunu win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.450

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nukunu are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nukunu 45%, draw 26%, Golden Warriors 29%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Nukunu v Golden WarriorsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Nukunu win45%

Draw26%

Golden Warriors win29%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nukunu

Golden Warriors

9Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Division One League

Last match: 11 Oct · Division One League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Nukunu	4	−6	1
16	Golden Warriors	4	−6	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nukunu winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 18 Oct 02:07 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Nukunu a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nukunu v Golden Warriors~~1.38 – 1.04

~~Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept~~W0 D1 L3 · W0 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 1 v 0~~15 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Nukunu win

Published at 46%, 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nukunu win	45%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Golden Warriors win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Nukunu or draw	71%	–	–
Nukunu clean sheet	36%	–	–
Golden Warriors clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.9%

0123450 8.7 9.9 4.8 1 12.9 11.9 6.4 2.3 2 8.5 8.5 4.4 3 4.0 4.0 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nukunu down, Golden Warriors across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 809 Division One League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 25.0% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Nukunu at home: 0.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 2). Golden Warriors away: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for Nukunu, 1.04 for Golden Warriors. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept

NUKUNU

DLLL0–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–3

GOLDEN WARRIORS

LLLL0–2 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–3

The table

2026/27 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Inter Allies	5	+4	11
2	Koforidua	4	+6	10
3	Hakla SC	4	+3	8
4	WAFA	4	+2	8
5	Accra Lions	4	+3	7
6	Golden Kicks	5	+2	7
7	Okwawu	4	+1	7
8	Nania	5	0	7
9	Home Stars	4	+2	6
10	Attram de Visser	5	−2	5
11	True Democracy	4	−2	5
12	7th Wave	4	0	4
13	Kotoku Royals	4	−4	2
14	Great Olympics	4	−3	1
15	Nukunu	4	−6	1
16	Golden Warriors	4	−6	0