Nsuopun Fidelity v Skyy prediction · Division One League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 01:40

Nsuopun Fidelity 1–1 Skyy NSUOPUN FIDELITY WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Nsuopun Fidelity win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.876

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nsuopun Fidelity are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nsuopun Fidelity 52%, draw 25%, Skyy 23%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Nsuopun Fidelity v SkyyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Nsuopun Fidelity win52%

Draw25%

Skyy win23%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nsuopun Fidelity

Skyy

5Days since last match5

Last match: 11 Oct · Division One League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Nsuopun Fidelity	4	+1	7
7	Skyy	4	+1	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nsuopun fidelity winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 04:02 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Nsuopun Fidelity a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nsuopun Fidelity v Skyy~~1.48 – 0.87

~~Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept~~W2 D1 L1 · W2 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 7 v 6~~4 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Nsuopun Fidelity win

Published at 53%, 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nsuopun Fidelity win	52%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Skyy win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Nsuopun Fidelity or draw	77%	–	–
Nsuopun Fidelity clean sheet	42%	–	–
Skyy clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.6%

0123450 9.3 8.8 3.6 1 14.6 11.7 5.3 2 10.4 8.9 3.9 3 5.2 4.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nsuopun Fidelity down, Skyy across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 801 Division One League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 26.0% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Nsuopun Fidelity at home: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Skyy away: 0.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.48 goals for Nsuopun Fidelity, 0.87 for Skyy. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SKY 3–0 NSU · NSU 3–1 SKY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept

NSUOPUN FIDELITY

WDWL1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–2

SKYY

LLWW1–2 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27 · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ebusua Dwarfs	4	+2	9
2	Nations	4	+3	8
3	Pro-Sports Academy	4	+5	7
4	Nsuopun Fidelity	4	+1	7
5	Ebony FC	4	+1	7
6	Fettehman United	4	+2	6
7	Skyy	4	+1	6
8	Soccer Intellectuals	4	+1	6
9	Ebiemo FC	4	0	6
10	Elmina Sharks	4	−1	5
11	PAC Academy	4	−1	4
12	Rospak	4	−1	4
13	King Faisal	4	−3	4
14	Sefwi All Stars	4	−1	3
15	Future Stars	4	−6	3
16	New Edubiase	4	−3	1