Nania v Inter Allies prediction · Division One League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Nania 1–2 Inter Allies NANIA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Nania win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.830

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nania are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nania 45%, draw 29%, Inter Allies 26%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Nania v Inter AlliesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Nania win45%

Draw29%

Inter Allies win26%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nania

Inter Allies

8Days since last match8

Last match: 9 Oct · Division One League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Inter Allies	4	+3	8
7	Nania	4	+1	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nania winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Nania a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nania v Inter Allies~~1.20 – 0.83

~~Form · Division One League this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D1 L1 · W2 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 7 v 8~~7 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nania win	45%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Inter Allies win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	33%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	15%	–	–
Nania or draw	74%	–	–
Nania clean sheet	44%	–	–
Inter Allies clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.1%

0123450 12.9 11.4 4.6 1 16.1 12.4 5.4 2 9.4 7.7 3.2 3 3.8 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nania down, Inter Allies across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 802 Division One League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 25.8% of games this season, across 97 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Nania at home: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Inter Allies away: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.20 goals for Nania, 0.83 for Inter Allies. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~INT 1–2 NAN · NAN 0–0 INT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division One League this season · since 19 Sept

NANIA

DLWW0–0 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 4–2

INTER ALLIES

DWWD1–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Koforidua	4	+6	10
2	Inter Allies	4	+3	8
3	Hakla SC	4	+3	8
4	WAFA	4	+2	8
5	Accra Lions	4	+3	7
6	Golden Kicks	4	+3	7
7	Nania	4	+1	7
8	Okwawu	4	+1	7
9	Home Stars	4	+2	6
10	True Democracy	4	−2	5
11	7th Wave	4	0	4
12	Attram de Visser	4	−3	2
13	Kotoku Royals	4	−4	2
14	Great Olympics	4	−3	1
15	Nukunu	4	−6	1
16	Golden Warriors	4	−6	0