Mighty Royals v Dormaa prediction · Division One League

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

Mighty Royals 3–1 Dormaa MIGHTY ROYALS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Mighty Royals win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.297

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mighty Royals are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mighty Royals 56%, draw 20%, Dormaa 24%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Mighty Royals v DormaaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Mighty Royals win56%

Draw20%

Dormaa win24%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mighty Royals

Dormaa

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Division One League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Mighty Royals	4	+3	7
4	Dormaa	4	+1	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mighty royals winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Mighty Royals a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Mighty Royals v Dormaa~~2.05 – 1.27

~~Form · Division One League this season · since 20 Sept~~W2 D1 L1 · W2 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 7 v 7~~2 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Mighty Royals win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mighty Royals win	56%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Dormaa win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Mighty Royals or draw	76%	–	–
Mighty Royals clean sheet	28%	–	–
Dormaa clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.4 5.2 3.0 1 8.0 9.0 5.9 2.5 2 7.6 9.4 5.9 2.5 3 5.1 6.4 4.1 4 2.7 3.3 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Mighty Royals down, Dormaa across0–5 goals a side shown (97.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 809 Division One League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 25.0% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.75 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Mighty Royals at home: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Dormaa away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.05 goals for Mighty Royals, 1.27 for Dormaa. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~DOR 3–4 MIG · MIG 3–2 DOR · DOR 0–1 MIG · MIG 0–2 DOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division One League this season · since 20 Sept

MIGHTY ROYALS

DWWL0–0 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 0–1

DORMAA

WLDW2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27 · group 4

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	VC Warriors	4	+7	10
2	Mighty Royals	4	+3	7
3	Techiman Liberty	4	+2	7
4	Dormaa	4	+1	7
5	Yapei	5	−1	7
6	Bectero Sasana	5	−1	7
7	Eleven Wonders	4	−5	1
8	KAC Soccer	4	−6	1