Kotoku Royals v 7th Wave prediction · Division One League

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

Kotoku Royals 0–1 7th Wave KOTOKU ROYALS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kotoku Royals win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.780

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kotoku Royals are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kotoku Royals 43%, draw 29%, 7th Wave 28%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Kotoku Royals v 7th WaveBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kotoku Royals win43%

Draw29%

7th Wave win28%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kotoku Royals

7th Wave

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Division One League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	7th Wave	4	0	4
13	Kotoku Royals	4	−4	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kotoku royals winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 04:02 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Kotoku Royals a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kotoku Royals v 7th Wave~~1.18 – 0.89

~~Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept~~W0 D2 L2 · W0 D4 L0

~~Table places · points 2 v 4~~13 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Kotoku Royals win

Published at 45%, 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kotoku Royals win	43%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
7th Wave win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Kotoku Royals or draw	72%	–	–
Kotoku Royals clean sheet	42%	–	–
7th Wave clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.5%

0123450 12.7 11.9 5.0 1 15.5 12.2 5.7 2 8.7 7.4 3.3 3 3.5 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kotoku Royals down, 7th Wave across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 809 Division One League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 25.0% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Kotoku Royals at home: 0.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 2). 7th Wave away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.18 goals for Kotoku Royals, 0.89 for 7th Wave. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept

KOTOKU ROYALS

DDLL1–1 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 0–2

7TH WAVE

DDDD1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Inter Allies	5	+4	11
2	Koforidua	4	+6	10
3	Hakla SC	4	+3	8
4	WAFA	4	+2	8
5	Accra Lions	4	+3	7
6	Golden Kicks	5	+2	7
7	Okwawu	4	+1	7
8	Nania	5	0	7
9	Home Stars	4	+2	6
10	Attram de Visser	5	−2	5
11	True Democracy	4	−2	5
12	7th Wave	4	0	4
13	Kotoku Royals	4	−4	2
14	Great Olympics	4	−3	1
15	Nukunu	4	−6	1
16	Golden Warriors	4	−6	0