Koforidua v WAFA prediction · Division One League

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

Koforidua 5–0 WAFA KOFORIDUA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Koforidua win~~61%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.231

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Koforidua are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Koforidua 61%, draw 23%, WAFA 16%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Koforidua v WAFABefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Koforidua win61%

Draw23%

WAFA win16%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Koforidua

WAFA

9Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Division One League

Last match: 11 Oct · Division One League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Koforidua	4	+6	10
4	WAFA	4	+2	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · koforidua winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Koforidua a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Koforidua v WAFA~~1.69 – 0.72

~~Form · Division One League this season · since 19 Sept~~W3 D1 L0 · W2 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 10 v 8~~2 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Koforidua win	61%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
WAFA win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Koforidua or draw	84%	–	–
Koforidua clean sheet	49%	–	–
WAFA clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.7%

0123450 8.8 7.1 2.4 1 15.7 10.3 3.9 2 12.7 9.0 3.2 3 7.2 5.1 4 3.1 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Koforidua down, WAFA across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 809 Division One League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 25.0% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Koforidua at home: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). WAFA away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.69 goals for Koforidua, 0.72 for WAFA. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KOF 2–1 WAF · WAF 0–0 KOF

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division One League this season · since 19 Sept

KOFORIDUA

WWDW2–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 3–0

WAFA

WDWD2–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Inter Allies	5	+4	11
2	Koforidua	4	+6	10
3	Hakla SC	4	+3	8
4	WAFA	4	+2	8
5	Accra Lions	4	+3	7
6	Golden Kicks	5	+2	7
7	Okwawu	4	+1	7
8	Nania	5	0	7
9	Home Stars	4	+2	6
10	Attram de Visser	5	−2	5
11	True Democracy	4	−2	5
12	7th Wave	4	0	4
13	Kotoku Royals	4	−4	2
14	Great Olympics	4	−3	1
15	Nukunu	4	−6	1
16	Golden Warriors	4	−6	0