Golden Warriors v Koforidua prediction · Division One League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Golden WarriorsDrawKoforidua

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Koforidua 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Koforidua are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Golden Warriors 32%, draw 25%, Koforidua 43%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Golden Warriors v KoforiduaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Golden Warriors win32%

Draw25%

Koforidua win43%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Golden Warriors

Koforidua

13Days since last match13

Last match: 18 Oct · Division One League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · koforidua winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Koforidua a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.4, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Golden Warriors v Koforidua~~1.14 – 1.39

~~Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept~~W0 D0 L5 · W4 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 0 v 13~~16 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Golden Warriors win	32%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Koforidua win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Golden Warriors or draw	57%	–	–
Golden Warriors clean sheet	25%	–	–
Koforidua clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.9%

0123450 7.5 11.9 7.7 3.6 1 9.8 11.7 8.6 4.0 2 5.2 7.0 4.9 2.3 3 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Golden Warriors down, Koforidua across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 825 Division One League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 24.2% of games this season, across 120 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Golden Warriors at home: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Koforidua away: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Golden Warriors, 1.39 for Koforidua. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~GOL 1–2 KOF · KOF 2–0 GOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept

GOLDEN WARRIORS

LLLLL0–2 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 0–1

KOFORIDUA

WWDWW2–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 5–0

The table

2026/27 · Division One League · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Koforidua	5	+11	13
2	Inter Allies	5	+4	11
3	Hakla SC	5	+3	9
4	Accra Lions	5	+3	8
5	Okwawu	5	+1	8
6	WAFA	5	−3	8
7	Golden Kicks	5	+2	7
8	7th Wave	5	+1	7
9	Nania	5	0	7
10	Home Stars	5	+1	6
11	True Democracy	5	−2	6
12	Attram de Visser	5	−2	5
13	Great Olympics	5	−2	4
14	Nukunu	5	−5	4
15	Kotoku Royals	5	−5	2
16	Golden Warriors	5	−7	0