Ebony FC v Nsuopun Fidelity prediction · Division One League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Ebony FCDrawNsuopun Fidelity

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Ebony FC 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ebony FC are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ebony FC 42%, draw 29%, Nsuopun Fidelity 29%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on Ebony FC v Nsuopun FidelityBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Ebony FC win42%

Draw29%

Nsuopun Fidelity win29%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ebony FC

Nsuopun Fidelity

13Days since last match15

Last match: 18 Oct · Division One League

Last match: 16 Oct · Division One League

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Ebony FC	5	+2	10
6	Nsuopun Fidelity	5	+1	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ebony fc winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Ebony FC a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ebony FC v Nsuopun Fidelity~~1.11 – 0.85

~~Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept~~W3 D1 L1 · W2 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 10 v 8~~4 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ebony FC win	42%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Nsuopun Fidelity win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	31%	–	–
Both teams to score	37%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	57%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
Ebony FC or draw	71%	–	–
Ebony FC clean sheet	43%	–	–
Nsuopun Fidelity clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.3%

0123450 13.5 12.7 5.1 1 16.3 12.3 5.6 2 8.6 7.3 3.1 3 3.3 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ebony FC down, Nsuopun Fidelity across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 825 Division One League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 24.2% of games this season, across 120 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ebony FC at home: 0.83 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Nsuopun Fidelity away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.11 goals for Ebony FC, 0.85 for Nsuopun Fidelity. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~NSU 0–2 EBO · EBO 0–0 NSU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept

EBONY FC

WWLDW1–0 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

NSUOPUN FIDELITY

WDWLD1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27 · Division One League · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ebusua Dwarfs	5	+3	12
2	Nations	5	+4	11
3	Pro-Sports Academy	5	+6	10
4	Ebony FC	5	+2	10
5	Soccer Intellectuals	5	+2	9
6	Nsuopun Fidelity	5	+1	8
7	Elmina Sharks	5	0	8
8	Fettehman United	5	+2	7
9	Skyy	5	+1	7
10	Ebiemo FC	5	−1	6
11	PAC Academy	5	−1	5
12	Rospak	5	−2	4
13	King Faisal	5	−4	4
14	Sefwi All Stars	5	−2	3
15	Future Stars	5	−7	3
16	New Edubiase	5	−4	1