Dormaa v Yapei prediction · Division One League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

DormaaDrawYapei

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dormaa 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dormaa are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dormaa 56%, draw 21%, Yapei 23%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Dormaa v YapeiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Dormaa win56%

Draw21%

Yapei win23%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dormaa

Yapei

13Days since last match14

Last match: 18 Oct · Division One League

Last match: 17 Oct · Division One League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Yapei	5	−1	7
6	Dormaa	5	−1	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dormaa winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Dormaa a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dormaa v Yapei~~1.88 – 1.12

~~Form · Division One League this season · since 20 Sept~~W2 D1 L2 · W2 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 7 v 7~~6 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dormaa win	56%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Yapei win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Dormaa or draw	77%	–	–
Dormaa clean sheet	33%	–	–
Yapei clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.1%

0123450 4.6 6.3 3.2 1 10.1 9.8 5.8 2.2 2 8.8 9.6 5.3 2.0 3 5.5 6.0 3.4 4 2.6 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dormaa down, Yapei across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 825 Division One League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 24.2% of games this season, across 120 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Dormaa at home: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Yapei away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.88 goals for Dormaa, 1.12 for Yapei. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division One League this season · since 20 Sept

DORMAA

WLDWL2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–3

YAPEI

WLDLW2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–4 · 2–0

The table

2026/27 · Division One League · group 4

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	VC Warriors	5	+5	10
2	Mighty Royals	5	+5	10
3	Techiman Liberty	5	+1	7
4	Yapei	5	−1	7
5	Bectero Sasana	5	−1	7
6	Dormaa	5	−1	7
7	Eleven Wonders	5	−4	4
8	KAC Soccer	5	−4	4