Accra Lions v Hakla SC prediction · Division One League

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

Accra Lions 1–1 Hakla SC ACCRA LIONS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Accra Lions win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.852

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Accra Lions are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Accra Lions 49%, draw 26%, Hakla SC 25%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Accra Lions v Hakla SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Accra Lions win49%

Draw26%

Hakla SC win25%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 5

VenueWAFA Park

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Accra Lions

Hakla SC

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Division One League

Last match: 10 Oct · Division One League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Hakla SC	4	+3	8
5	Accra Lions	4	+3	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · accra lions winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 04:02 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Accra Lions a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Accra Lions v Hakla SC~~1.41 – 0.92

~~Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept~~W2 D1 L1 · W2 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 7 v 8~~5 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Accra Lions win

Published at 47%, 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Accra Lions win	49%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Hakla SC win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	41%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Accra Lions or draw	75%	–	–
Accra Lions clean sheet	40%	–	–
Hakla SC clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.3%

0123450 9.4 9.5 4.1 1 14.3 11.9 5.7 2 9.6 8.7 4.0 3 4.6 4.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Accra Lions down, Hakla SC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 809 Division One League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division One League matches have gone over 2.5 in 25.0% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Accra Lions at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Hakla SC away: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.41 goals for Accra Lions, 0.92 for Hakla SC. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HAK 2–1 ACC · ACC 0–3 HAK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division One League this season · since 18 Sept

ACCRA LIONS

WDLW2–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 3–0

HAKLA SC

DDWW0–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Inter Allies	5	+4	11
2	Koforidua	4	+6	10
3	Hakla SC	4	+3	8
4	WAFA	4	+2	8
5	Accra Lions	4	+3	7
6	Golden Kicks	5	+2	7
7	Okwawu	4	+1	7
8	Nania	5	0	7
9	Home Stars	4	+2	6
10	Attram de Visser	5	−2	5
11	True Democracy	4	−2	5
12	7th Wave	4	0	4
13	Kotoku Royals	4	−4	2
14	Great Olympics	4	−3	1
15	Nukunu	4	−6	1
16	Golden Warriors	4	−6	0