Vaprus v Kalju Nomme

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kalju Nomme win at 53%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Kalju Nomme 53% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 24–24–52
3. 1′KICK-OFF Vaprus v Kalju Nomme
4. 8′🟨 YELLOW · 8' Kalju Nomme
5. 34′Vaprus find the net on 33′. 1–0. 1–0 · 55–26–18
6. 34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Vaprus 1–0 Kalju Nomme
7. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Kalju Nomme win: 53% at kick-off, 18% now
8. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Vaprus win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Kalju Nomme win 18%)
9. 36′We said Kalju Nomme at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–0 · 56–26–18
10. 38′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 57–26–17
11. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Kalju Nomme
12. 45′We said Kalju Nomme at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 59–26–14
13. 45′HALF-TIME Vaprus 1–0 Kalju Nomme
14. 46′SECOND HALF Vaprus 1–0 Kalju Nomme
15. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kalju Nomme · On: T. Baptista · Off: I. Jabir Corrected
16. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kalju Nomme · On: M. Orlov · Off: U. Korre Corrected
17. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Kalju Nomme win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
18. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Kalju Nomme
19. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Vaprus 1–1 Kalju Nomme
20. 54′M. Mannilaan scores for Kalju Nomme on 53′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 20–43–37
21. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Kalju Nomme win: 53% at kick-off, 37% now
22. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Vaprus win 20%)
23. 55′We said Kalju Nomme at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 20–44–36
24. 59′We said Kalju Nomme at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 19–47–34
25. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Kalju Nomme win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
26. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Kalju Nomme · On: A. Nikolajev · Off: A. Borolinstsikov
27. 66′We said Kalju Nomme at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 17–54–29
28. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Vaprus
29. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Kalju Nomme · On: E. E. Lotar Eyang · Off: N. Ivanov
30. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Vaprus 2–1 Kalju Nomme
31. 73′72′ and it is 2–1: Vaprus have scored. 2–1 · 77–20–4
32. 73′We said Kalju Nomme at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 77–20–4
33. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Kalju Nomme win: 53% at kick-off, 4% now
34. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Vaprus win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 20%)
35. 75′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 79–18–3
36. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Kalju Nomme win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
37. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Vaprus · On: V. Vallik · Off: S. Viidas Corrected
38. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Vaprus · On: J. Poder · Off: S. Kapper Corrected
39. 87′Kalju Nomme find the net on 87′. 2–2. 2–2 · 5–87–8
40. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Vaprus 2–2 Kalju Nomme
41. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Kalju Nomme win: 53% at kick-off, 8% now
42. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Vaprus win 5%)
43. 88′We said Kalju Nomme at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 2–2 · 4–89–7
44. 88′⚽ GOAL · 87' Vaprus 2–2 Kalju Nomme · E. E. Lotar Eyang
45. 89′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 4–90–6
46. FTFULL TIME Vaprus 2–2 Kalju Nomme
47. FTVaprus 2–2 Kalju Nomme · Kalju Nomme win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.