Quindio v Real Cartagena

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Quindio win at 39%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Quindio was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–28–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Quindio v Real Cartagena
4. 22′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Quindio
5. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Real Cartagena
6. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Quindio win 33%)
7. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Quindio
8. 45′HALF-TIME Quindio 0–0 Real Cartagena
9. 45′SECOND HALF Quindio 0–0 Real Cartagena
10. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Quindio win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
11. 55′We expected about 2.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 31–42–27
12. 56′We said Quindio at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 27–49–24
13. 57′A goal for Quindio on 57′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–19–5
14. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Quindio 1–0 Real Cartagena
15. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Quindio win: 39% at kick-off, 76% now
16. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Quindio win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 19%)
17. 58′We published Quindio at 39%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–0 · 77–19–4
18. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Quindio win: 39% at kick-off, 79% now
19. 65′We published Quindio at 39%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
20. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Quindio
21. 70′We said Quindio at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 1–1 · 20–63–18
22. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Quindio 1–1 Real Cartagena
23. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Quindio win: 39% at kick-off, 20% now
24. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Quindio win 20%)
25. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Quindio win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
26. 72′70′: F. Montero on the scoresheet for Real Cartagena, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 18–65–16
27. 72′We said Quindio at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–65–16
28. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Quindio
29. 74′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–1 · 17–68–15
30. 77′We said Quindio at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–73–13
31. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Real Cartagena
32. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Quindio
33. 83′We said Quindio at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–8
34. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Quindio win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
35. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Real Cartagena · On: J. Rios · Off: J. Rodriguez
36. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Real Cartagena · On: L. Taffur · Off: D. Castillo
37. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Real Cartagena · On: A. Escobar · Off: C. De Las Salas Corrected
38. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Real Cartagena · On: A. Escobar · Off: C. De Las Salas
39. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Real Cartagena · On: D. Pino · Off: E. Lopez
40. 90′We said Quindio at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
41. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Real Cartagena
42. FTFULL TIME Quindio 1–1 Real Cartagena
43. FTQuindio 1–1 Real Cartagena · Quindio win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.