Orsomarso v Bogota FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Orsomarso win at 46%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Orsomarso was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–30–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Orsomarso v Bogota FC
4. 5′🟨 YELLOW · 5' Bogota FC
5. 12′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Orsomarso
6. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Bogota FC
7. 35′🟥 RED CARD · 35' Bogota FC
8. 37′A red card for Bogota FC on 36′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 37–42–21
9. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Orsomarso win 39%)
10. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Bogota FC
11. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Orsomarso win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
12. 44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Orsomarso
13. 45′We said Orsomarso at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–20
14. 45′HALF-TIME Orsomarso 0–0 Bogota FC
15. 45′SECOND HALF Orsomarso 0–0 Bogota FC
16. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Y. Mosquera · Bogota FC
17. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Orsomarso · On: S. Martinez · Off: A. Ruiz
18. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Bogota FC · On: H. Sandoval Lasso · Off: D. Estupinan
19. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Orsomarso · On: J. Villarreal · Off: S. Gonzalez
20. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Orsomarso
21. 56′We said Orsomarso at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–54–17
22. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Orsomarso win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
23. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Bogota FC · On: S. Perea · Off: J. Arango
24. 65′We said Orsomarso at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–62–14
25. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Orsomarso · On: B. Campaz · Off: S. Arrechea
26. 72′We said Orsomarso at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–70–12
27. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Orsomarso win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
28. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Bogota FC · On: J. Palacios · Off: H. Ramos Jaramillo
29. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Orsomarso · On: N. Vargas · Off: J. Barreiro
30. 78′We said Orsomarso at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–8
31. 83′We said Orsomarso at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
32. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Orsomarso · On: M. Preciado · Off: J. Contreras
33. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Bogota FC · On: J. Velasco · Off: J. Perez
34. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Bogota FC · On: N. Segura · Off: K. Aladesanmi
35. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Orsomarso win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
36. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Orsomarso
37. 89′We said Orsomarso at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
38. 90′Full time, 0–1. We called Orsomarso at 46% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–1 · 0–0–100
39. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Orsomarso
40. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Orsomarso 0–1 Bogota FC
41. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Bogota FC win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 98%)
42. 95′Bogota FC find the net on 90′. 0–1. 0–1 · 0–1–99
43. FTFULL TIME Orsomarso 0–1 Bogota FC
44. FTOrsomarso 0–1 Bogota FC · Orsomarso win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.