Envigado v Real Santander

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Envigado win at 64%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Envigado 64% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–22–14
3. 1′KICK-OFF Envigado v Real Santander
4. 14′A goal for Envigado on 14′. 0–0 · 61–25–14
5. 15′We said Envigado at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–0 · 86–11–3
6. 15′⚽ GOAL · 14' Envigado 1–0 Real Santander
7. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Envigado win: 64% at kick-off, 86% now
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 86–11–3
9. 45′We said Envigado at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–38–14
10. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45+3' Envigado 1–1 Real Santander
11. 45′HALF-TIME Envigado 1–1 Real Santander
12. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Envigado win: 64% at kick-off, 49% now
13. 45′SECOND HALF Envigado 1–1 Real Santander
14. 47′Real Santander find the net on 45′. 1–0 · 86–12–2 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
15. 53′We said Envigado at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–43–13
16. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Envigado win: 64% at kick-off, 44% now
17. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Envigado win 41%)
18. 60′We said Envigado at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–49–12
19. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Envigado · On: Y. Rodallega · Off: D. A. Valencia Mosquera
20. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Envigado · On: A. Rodriguez · Off: M. Betancurt
21. 66′We said Envigado at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–55–11
22. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Envigado win: 64% at kick-off, 34% now
23. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Envigado · On: J. Rey · Off: S. Norena
24. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Envigado · On: D. Dawson · Off: G. Mujica
25. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Real Santander
26. 71′We said Envigado at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–62–10
27. 75′We said Envigado at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–68–8
28. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Envigado win: 64% at kick-off, 24% now
29. 79′We said Envigado at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–74–7
30. 82′We said Envigado at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–80–5
31. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Envigado win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
32. 86′We said Envigado at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–87–4
33. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Envigado · On: J. Nieva · Off: W. Hurtado
34. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Envigado
35. 92′We said Envigado at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
36. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Envigado win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
37. FTFULL TIME Envigado 1–1 Real Santander
38. FTEnvigado 1–1 Real Santander · Envigado win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.