Depor FC v Quindio

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Quindio win at 42%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Quindio 42% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 30–28–41
3. 1′KICK-OFF Depor FC v Quindio
4. 13′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Quindio
5. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Quindio win 37%)
6. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Quindio win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
7. 45′HALF-TIME Depor FC 0–0 Quindio
8. 46′SECOND HALF Depor FC 0–0 Quindio
9. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Depor FC · On: K. Angulo · Off: C. Cano
10. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 30' Depor FC · On: J. Palacios · Off: F. Villa
11. 50′We said Quindio at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 24–46–30
12. 51′Depor FC are down to ten from 51′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 23–47–30
13. 51′🟥 RED CARD · 51' Depor FC
14. 54′We said Quindio at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 23–49–29
15. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 52' Quindio · On: S. Orozco · Off: L. Rodrigo Moran
16. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Quindio
17. 63′We said Quindio at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 19–56–24
18. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Depor FC
19. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Quindio win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
20. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Depor FC · On: J. Julio · Off: G. Eraso
21. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Quindio · On: J. Lopez · Off: J. P. Ibarguen
22. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Quindio · On: F. Mosquera · Off: A. Alvarez
23. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Quindio
24. 71′We said Quindio at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 15–65–19
25. 78′We said Quindio at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 11–75–14
26. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Quindio win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
27. 80′🟥 RED CARD · 80' Quindio
28. 81′Depor FC have ten men and Quindio ten after the red cards. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 9–81–11
29. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Quindio · On: J. Delgado · Off: J. Sandoval
30. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Depor FC · On: C. Cabezas · Off: J. Delgado
31. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Quindio · On: A. Tello · Off: S. Roa
32. 84′We said Quindio at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 6–86–8
33. 90′We said Quindio at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–93–4
34. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Quindio win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
35. 94′A goal for Quindio on 90′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 0–1–99
36. 94′We said Quindio at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 0–1 · 0–1–99
37. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Depor FC 0–1 Quindio
38. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Quindio win: 42% at kick-off, 99% now
39. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Quindio win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 96%)
40. FTFULL TIME Depor FC 0–1 Quindio
41. FTDepor FC 0–1 Quindio · Quindio win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.