

Barranquilla v Tigres FC
Barranquilla
Tigres FCPrimera B · THU 15 OCT · Estadio Romelio Martinez
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Barranquilla win at 40%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Barranquilla 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–30–30
- 1′KICK-OFF Barranquilla v Tigres FC
- 13′Barranquilla score on 12′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 71–20–9
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Barranquilla 1–0 Tigres FC
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Barranquilla win: 40% at kick-off, 71% now
- 14′GOAL DISALLOWED · 14' Barranquilla
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Barranquilla win: 40% at kick-off, 38% now
- 16′Barranquilla score on 16′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 71–20–9
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Barranquilla 1–0 Tigres FC
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Barranquilla win: 40% at kick-off, 71% now
- 17′We said Barranquilla at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 1–0 · 71–20–9
- 21′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Tigres FC
- 23′Barranquilla find the net on 22′. 2–0. 2–0 · 92–6–2
- 23′We said Barranquilla at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 2–0 · 92–6–2
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 22' Barranquilla 2–0 Tigres FC
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Barranquilla win: 40% at kick-off, 92% now
- 37′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Barranquilla
- 43′We said Barranquilla at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–5–1
- 45′HALF-TIME Barranquilla 2–0 Tigres FC
- 46′SECOND HALF Barranquilla 2–0 Tigres FC
- 48′🟨 YELLOW · 45+3' Tigres FC
- 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Barranquilla · On: M. Agamez · Off: Ortiz Javier
- 49′🟨 YELLOW · 45+4' Barranquilla
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Barranquilla · On: C. Penate · Off: S. Borja
- 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Barranquilla
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Tigres FC · On: Y. Salas · Off: G. Cabezas
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Tigres FC · On: W. S. Mena · Off: M. Frigerio
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Tigres FC · On: O. Aragon · Off: J. P. Ramirez Acosta
- 68′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 2–0 · 98–2–0
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Barranquilla · On: L. Gomez · Off: M. Pino
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Barranquilla · On: J. Munoz · Off: D. A. Mendoza Benitez
- 71′A goal for Tigres FC on 71′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 85–13–1
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Barranquilla 2–1 Tigres FC
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Barranquilla win: 40% at kick-off, 85% now
- 72′We said Barranquilla at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–1 · 86–13–1
- 73′3 goals already, more than the 2.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 86–12–1
- 75′Tigres FC score on 75′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 15–72–12
- 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Barranquilla 2–2 Tigres FC
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Barranquilla win: 40% at kick-off, 15% now
- 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Draw is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Barranquilla win 15%)
- 76′We said Barranquilla at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 2–2 · 15–74–12
- 76′O. Aragon scores for Tigres FC on 70′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
- 76′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Tigres FC
- 77′GOAL DISALLOWED · 77' Tigres FC
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Barranquilla win: 40% at kick-off, 89% now
- 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Barranquilla win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 10%)
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Barranquilla win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
- 81′We said Barranquilla at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 2–2 · 10–82–8
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Barranquilla 2–2 Tigres FC
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Barranquilla win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
- 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Draw is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Barranquilla win 10%)
- 82′GOAL DISALLOWED · 82' Tigres FC
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Barranquilla win: 40% at kick-off, 93% now
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Barranquilla win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 7%)
- 83′Tigres FC score on 82′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 8–85–7
- 83′We said Barranquilla at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 2–2 · 8–85–7
- 83′⚽ GOAL · 82' Barranquilla 2–2 Tigres FC
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Barranquilla win: 40% at kick-off, 8% now
- 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Draw is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Barranquilla win 8%)
- 85′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.1 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 7–88–5
- 89′We said Barranquilla at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–92–4
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Tigres FC · On: S. Cardenas Pico · Off: L. Palacios
- FTFULL TIME Barranquilla 2–2 Tigres FC
- FTBarranquilla 2–2 Tigres FC · Barranquilla win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassBarranquilla are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Barranquilla 40%, draw 29%, Tigres FC 30%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 43%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Barranquilla win40%
Tigres FC win30%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 22:00
RoundClausura · matchday 13
VenueEstadio Romelio Martinez
Match timeline
All events
BarranquillaMIN
Tigres FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Barranquilla
Tigres FC
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Barranquilla
Tigres FC
Last match: 11 Oct · the Colombian Primera B
Last match: 8 Oct · the Colombian Primera B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Barranquilla
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Guerra Navarro
15 S. Borja
7 D. Torres
4 E. Herazo
21 A. Orozco
36 J. Navia
31 D. A. Mendoza Benitez
8 M. Bolivar
10 Ortiz Javier
23 P. Oviedo
9 M. Pino
Coach · Dayron Perez
Substitutes
33 · D. Mosquera
30 · L. Gomez
6 · S. Caballero
3 · O. Cassiani
20 · J. Cortez
27 · N. Uribe
11 · J. Munoz
19 · C. Penate
16 · M. Agamez
Tigres FC
Formation not confirmed
1 K. E. Lopez Larrota
15 S. Guzman
6 J. Lopera
5 Jhon Renteria
3 J. Cano
23 M. Frigerio
2 G. Cabezas
13 A. Cuadros
27 J. Martinez
11 L. Palacios
20 J. P. Ramirez Acosta
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · V. M. Brid Arroyo
8 · Y. Salas
9 · O. Aragon
18 · W. S. Mena
21 · S. Cardenas Pico
26 · M. Canon
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Barranquilla
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Guerra Navarro
15 S. Borja
7 D. Torres
4 E. Herazo
21 A. Orozco
36 J. Navia
31 D. A. Mendoza Benitez
8 M. Bolivar
10 Ortiz Javier
23 P. Oviedo
9 M. Pino
Coach · Dayron Perez
Substitutes
33 · D. Mosquera
30 · L. Gomez
6 · S. Caballero
3 · O. Cassiani
20 · J. Cortez
27 · N. Uribe
11 · J. Munoz
19 · C. Penate
16 · M. Agamez
Tigres FC
Formation not confirmed
1 K. E. Lopez Larrota
15 S. Guzman
6 J. Lopera
5 Jhon Renteria
3 J. Cano
23 M. Frigerio
2 G. Cabezas
13 A. Cuadros
27 J. Martinez
11 L. Palacios
20 J. P. Ramirez Acosta
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · V. M. Brid Arroyo
8 · Y. Salas
9 · O. Aragon
18 · W. S. Mena
21 · S. Cardenas Pico
26 · M. Canon
We make Barranquilla a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.2–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 39%, 40% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barranquilla win | 40% | 38% | +2 |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | −1 |
| Tigres FC win | 30% | 32% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 43% | −7 |
| Both teams to score | 43% | 50% | −7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 67% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 24% | −7 |
| Barranquilla or draw | 70% | 68% | +2 |
| Barranquilla clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Tigres FC clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera B this season · since 10 Sept
BARRANQUILLA
TIGRES FC
The table
2026 · Annual table| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 33 | +12 | 60 |
| 2 | Envigado | 35 | +15 | 57 |
| 3 | Quindio | 33 | +9 | 57 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 35 | +14 | 56 |
| 5 | Union Magdalena | 33 | +14 | 54 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 33 | +6 | 46 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 27 | +8 | 43 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 34 | −7 | 40 |
| 9 | Barranquilla | 33 | −3 | 38 |
| 10 | Real Cundinamarca | 28 | +3 | 37 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 27 | −4 | 35 |
| 12 | Popayan | 27 | −2 | 31 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 27 | −7 | 30 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 27 | −15 | 24 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 27 | −18 | 22 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 27 | −25 | 21 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Internacional Palmira
Envigado
Quindio
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
Ind. Yumbo
Bogota FC
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
Popayan
Orsomarso
Depor FC
Real Santander
Leones FC