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Deportivo Pereira v Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Pereira

0–0Full time

Deportivo Cali

Primera A · SAT 10 OCT · Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 00:01

Deportivo Pereira 0–0 Deportivo Cali DEPORTIVO PEREIRA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Deportivo Pereira win~~36%

~~The market said~~20%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.724

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.884

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Deportivo Pereira win at 36%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Deportivo Pereira 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 36–29–35
1′KICK-OFF Deportivo Pereira v Deportivo Cali
15′Little has changed for our model: Deportivo Pereira 36% before kick-off, 35% now. 0–0 · 35–32–33
16′Little has changed for our model: Deportivo Pereira 36% before kick-off, 35% now. 0–0 · 35–32–33
22′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Sebastian Acosta · Deportivo Pereira
37′🟥 RED CARD · 37' Deportivo Cali
45′HALF-TIME Deportivo Pereira 0–0 Deportivo Cali
46′SECOND HALF Deportivo Pereira 0–0 Deportivo Cali
47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Deportivo Cali · On: Steven Rodríguez · Off: Johan Martinez Corrected
47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Deportivo Pereira · On: Anderson Plata · Off: Luis Jeiner Moreno Corrected
57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Santiago Andres Aguilar Murillo · Deportivo Pereira
65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Deportivo Pereira · On: Ederson Moreno · Off: Miguel Ángel Aguirre Corrected
65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Deportivo Pereira · On: Miguel Palacios · Off: Sebastian Acosta Corrected
69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Deportivo Cali · On: Alexis Castillo Manyoma · Off: Juan Dinenno Corrected
69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Deportivo Cali · On: Nicolás Benedetti · Off: Emanuel Reynoso Corrected
87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Deportivo Cali · On: Carlos Bacca · Off: Eduard Bello Corrected
87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Deportivo Pereira · On: Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez · Off: Marco Pérez Corrected
FTDeportivo Pereira 0–0 Deportivo Cali · Deportivo Pereira win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Deportivo Pereira win36%

Draw31%

Deportivo Cali win34%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 21:30

Venue · Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas

Referee · Jonnathan Ortiz

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Deportivo Pereira

4-2-3-1

1 Y. A. Gomez Palacio

20 J. Monroy

15 S. Aguilar

3 N. Rengifo

23 T. Bovone

21 W. Pacheco

37 L. Moreno

11 J. Largacha

10 S. Acosta

19 M. Aguirre

18 M. Perez

Coach · Arturo Reyes

Substitutes

12 · J. Betancourth

25 · F. Delgado

32 · J. Murillo

14 · E. Moreno

16 · E. A. Moreno Gomez

27 · J. Morales

24 · M. Palacios

7 · A. Plata

29 · M. Diaz

Deportivo Cali

4-2-3-1

38 A. Rodriguez

27 F. Viafara

2 J. Moya

4 F. Alvarez

28 E. Velasco

15 L. Chaverra

8 D. Giraldo

19 J. Martinez

10 E. Reynoso

20 E. Bello

9 J. Dinenno

Coach · Rafael Dudamel

Substitutes

32 · S. Mondragon

12 · J. C. Caldera Alvis

26 · J. Tello

16 · K. Sandoval

21 · N. Benedetti

43 · S. Martinez

70 · C. Bacca

23 · Titi

14 · A. Manyoma

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Deportivo Pereira

4-2-3-1

1 Y. A. Gomez Palacio

20 J. Monroy

15 S. Aguilar

3 N. Rengifo

23 T. Bovone

21 W. Pacheco

37 L. Moreno

11 J. Largacha

10 S. Acosta

19 M. Aguirre

18 M. Perez

Coach · Arturo Reyes

Substitutes

12 · J. Betancourth

25 · F. Delgado

32 · J. Murillo

14 · E. Moreno

16 · E. A. Moreno Gomez

27 · J. Morales

24 · M. Palacios

7 · A. Plata

29 · M. Diaz

Deportivo Cali

4-2-3-1

38 A. Rodriguez

27 F. Viafara

2 J. Moya

4 F. Alvarez

28 E. Velasco

15 L. Chaverra

8 D. Giraldo

19 J. Martinez

10 E. Reynoso

20 E. Bello

9 J. Dinenno

Coach · Rafael Dudamel

Substitutes

32 · S. Mondragon

12 · J. C. Caldera Alvis

26 · J. Tello

16 · K. Sandoval

21 · N. Benedetti

43 · S. Martinez

70 · C. Bacca

23 · Titi

14 · A. Manyoma

Our number · deportivo pereira winPublished 10 Oct 21:35

36% The market20%

Us36%

~~Market~~20%

We make Deportivo Pereira a 36% chance to win. The market has them at 20%. We are 16 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.1.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Deportivo Pereira win	36%	20%	+16
Draw	31%	26%	+5
Deportivo Cali win	34%	54%	−20
Over 2.5 goals	39%	45%	−6
Both teams to score	46%	46%	0
Over 1.5 goals	66%	69%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	19%	24%	−5
Deportivo Pereira or draw	66%	46%	+20
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet	33%	–	–
Deportivo Cali clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.1%

0123450 11.7 10.9 6.5 2.4 1 11.2 14.1 7.3 2.7 2 6.9 7.5 4.1 3 2.6 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Deportivo Pereira down, Deportivo Cali across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 2,521 Primera A matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Primera A matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.5% of games this season, across 324 played.

Head to head

13 previous meetings, 1.92 goals a meeting; 4 of 13 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Deportivo Pereira at home: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Deportivo Cali away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Deportivo Pereira, 1.10 for Deportivo Cali. Most likely score 1–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 10 Oct 21:01. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

13 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~1.92

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 13

~~Both scored~~4 of 13

~~Last meetings~~DEP 1–0 DEP · DEP 1–0 DEP · DEP 2–0 DEP · DEP 0–2 DEP

Form · last six in Primera A

DEPORTIVO PEREIRA

DLDDLL1–1 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–4

DEPORTIVO CALI

DWWWWW1–1 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 3–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Atletico Nacional	36	+39	78
2	America de Cali	33	+23	61
3	Santa Fe	35	+18	57
4	Deportes Tolima	36	+12	57
5	Junior	36	+6	53
6	Deportivo Cali	31	+15	51
7	Millonarios	33	+15	48
8	Once Caldas	33	+7	47
9	Bucaramanga	30	+16	46
10	Independiente Medellin	31	+5	46
11	Deportivo Pasto	33	−8	43
12	Águilas Doradas	31	−6	41
13	Internacional de Bogota	34	−11	41
14	Llaneros	31	−4	36
15	Fortaleza FC	32	−10	33
16	Cucuta	31	−17	31
17	Chico	30	−25	29
18	Alianza Valledupar	32	−26	29
19	Jaguares	30	−22	25
20	Deportivo Pereira	30	−27	18