Bucaramanga v America de Cali

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bucaramanga win at 41%.
2. 0′KICK-OFF Bucaramanga v America de Cali
3. 1′Much as we predicted: Bucaramanga was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–31–28
4. 7′🟨 YELLOW · 7' Bucaramanga
5. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Carlos Romaña · Bucaramanga
6. 27′🟥 RED CARD · 27' Bucaramanga
7. 29′A red card for Bucaramanga on 26′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 36–38–26
8. 33′SUBSTITUTION · 32' America de Cali · On: Tomás Ángel · Off: Daniel Valencia
9. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Bucaramanga win 35%)
10. 45′HALF-TIME Bucaramanga 0–0 America de Cali
11. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45+5' Josen Escobar · America de Cali
12. 45′SECOND HALF Bucaramanga 0–0 America de Cali
13. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Bucaramanga win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
14. 49′47′: Luciano Pons on the scoresheet for Bucaramanga, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 78–18–4
15. 49′⚽ GOAL · 47' Bucaramanga 1–0 America de Cali · Luciano Pons
16. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Bucaramanga win: 41% at kick-off, 78% now
17. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Bucaramanga win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 18%)
18. 51′We published Bucaramanga at 41%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–18–4
19. 52′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 78–18–4
20. 56′We published Bucaramanga at 41%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
21. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Bucaramanga win: 41% at kick-off, 81% now
22. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' America de Cali · On: Jhon Palacios · Off: Jhon Murillo
23. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' America de Cali · On: Jan Lucumi · Off: Josen Escobar
24. 69′We published Bucaramanga at 41%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
25. 73′America de Cali level it on 71′ through Yani Quintero. 1–1. 1–1 · 17–69–13
26. 73′We said Bucaramanga at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 1–1 · 17–69–13
27. 73′⚽ GOAL · 71' Bucaramanga 1–1 America de Cali · Yani Quintero
28. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Bucaramanga win: 41% at kick-off, 17% now
29. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Bucaramanga win 17%)
30. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Bucaramanga · On: Victor Cantillo · Off: Leonardo Flores
31. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Bucaramanga · On: Omar Albornoz · Off: Fabián Sambueza
32. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' America de Cali · On: Brayan Cordoba · Off: Nicolás Hernández
33. 78′We said Bucaramanga at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–77–10
34. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Bucaramanga · On: Aldair Gutiérrez · Off: Fredy Hinestroza
35. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Bucaramanga win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
36. 82′We said Bucaramanga at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–7
37. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Bucaramanga · On: Brandon·Caicedo · Off: Luciano Pons
38. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Bucaramanga · On: Aldair Enrique Zarate Palma · Off: Emerson Batalla
39. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Jhon Palacios · America de Cali
40. 89′We said Bucaramanga at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–3
41. 90′Full time, 1–1. We called Bucaramanga at 41% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
42. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Bucaramanga win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
43. FTFULL TIME Bucaramanga 1–1 America de Cali
44. FTBucaramanga 1–1 America de Cali · Bucaramanga win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.