Águilas Doradas v Deportes Tolima

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Águilas Doradas win at 35%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Águilas Doradas 35% before kick-off, 35% now. 0–0 · 35–30–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Águilas Doradas v Deportes Tolima
4. 13′🟨 YELLOW · 13' Deportes Tolima
5. 15′We said Águilas Doradas at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 1–0 · 67–21–12
6. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Águilas Doradas 1–0 Deportes Tolima
7. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Águilas Doradas win: 35% at kick-off, 67% now
8. 16′Matías Ramírez scores for Águilas Doradas on 14′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 67–21–12
9. 18′🟥 RED CARD · 18' Deportes Tolima
10. 19′Deportes Tolima are down to ten from 17′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 67–21–12
11. 22′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Anderson Angulo · Deportes Tolima
12. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Águilas Doradas 1–1 Deportes Tolima
13. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Águilas Doradas win: 35% at kick-off, 33% now
14. 26′24′: Adrián Parra on the scoresheet for Deportes Tolima, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 32–36–32
15. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Águilas Doradas win 32%)
16. 41′SUBSTITUTION · 39' Águilas Doradas · On: Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos · Off: Junior Noguera
17. 45′HALF-TIME Águilas Doradas 1–1 Deportes Tolima
18. 45′SECOND HALF Águilas Doradas 1–1 Deportes Tolima
19. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Andres Mosquera · Águilas Doradas
20. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Deportes Tolima · On: Jherson Mosquera · Off: Anderson Angulo
21. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Águilas Doradas win: 35% at kick-off, 25% now
22. 60′We said Águilas Doradas at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–54–23
23. 63′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 1–1 · 22–57–21
24. 68′We said Águilas Doradas at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–62–19
25. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Deportes Tolima · On: Jorge Hurtado · Off: Edwar López
26. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Deportes Tolima · On: Kelvin Flórez · Off: Ever Valencia
27. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 70' John Ontaneda · Águilas Doradas
28. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Águilas Doradas win: 35% at kick-off, 15% now
29. 76′We said Águilas Doradas at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–72–14
30. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Adrián Parra · Deportes Tolima
31. 82′We said Águilas Doradas at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–82–9
32. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Águilas Doradas · On: Eduar Arízalas · Off: Matías Ramírez
33. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Águilas Doradas · On: Nicolás Lara Vásquez · Off: Iván Rojas
34. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Águilas Doradas · On: Juan Camilo Roa · Off: Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos
35. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Águilas Doradas win: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
36. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Junior Hernandez · Deportes Tolima
37. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Deportes Tolima · On: Jader Valencia · Off: Luis Sandoval
38. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Águilas Doradas · On: Andrés Lorenzo Carreño Zambrano · Off: Anthony Vásquez
39. 90′We said Águilas Doradas at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–4
40. 90′2–1 at the end. Our 35% on Águilas Doradas comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
41. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Deportes Tolima · On: Victor Manuel Reyes Clavijo · Off: Homer Martinez
42. 94′We said Águilas Doradas at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–1 · 99–1–0
43. 94′PENALTY · 90+2' Águilas Doradas
44. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Águilas Doradas 2–1 Deportes Tolima
45. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Águilas Doradas win: 35% at kick-off, 99% now
46. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Águilas Doradas win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
47. 95′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 99–1–0
48. 96′Águilas Doradas ahead on 90′ through Jorge Soto. 2–1. 2–1 · 99–1–0
49. FTFULL TIME Águilas Doradas 2–1 Deportes Tolima
50. FTÁguilas Doradas 2–1 Deportes Tolima · Águilas Doradas win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.