D. La Serena v Concepción

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said D. La Serena win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: D. La Serena was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–23–35
3. 1′KICK-OFF D. La Serena v Concepción
4. 5′🟨 YELLOW · 5' Concepción
5. 14′We published D. La Serena at 42%. Our model now makes it 66%. 1–0 · 66–21–13
6. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' D. La Serena 1–0 Concepción
7. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' D. La Serena win: 42% at kick-off, 66% now
8. 16′Matías Marín scores for D. La Serena on 15′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 67–21–13
9. 17′Matías Marín scores for D. La Serena on 14′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 67–21–12
10. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' D. La Serena 1–1 Concepción
11. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' D. La Serena win: 42% at kick-off, 38% now
12. 21′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Francis Mac Allister · D. La Serena
13. 23′21′: Jorge Henríquez on the scoresheet for Concepción, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 38–29–33
14. 36′We published D. La Serena at 42%. Our model now makes it 70%. 2–1 · 70–21–9
15. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' D. La Serena 2–1 Concepción
16. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' D. La Serena win: 42% at kick-off, 70% now
17. 37′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 70–21–9
18. 38′D. La Serena ahead on 37′ through Matías Marín. 2–1. 2–1 · 70–21–9
19. 41′A red card for Concepción on 41′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–1 · 71–21–8
20. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Ariel Cáceres · Concepción
21. 41′🟥 RED CARD · 41' Concepción
22. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Matías Marín · D. La Serena
23. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' D. La Serena win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
24. 46′SECOND HALF D. La Serena 2–1 Concepción
25. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Concepción · On: Misael Dávila · Off: Aldrix Jara
26. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Fausto Grillo · Concepción
27. 49′HALF-TIME D. La Serena 2–1 Concepción
28. 56′We published D. La Serena at 42%. Our model now makes it 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–5
29. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Diego Rubio · D. La Serena
30. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' D. La Serena · On: Sebastián Díaz · Off: Francis Mac Allister
31. 67′We published D. La Serena at 42%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
32. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' D. La Serena win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
33. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Concepción · On: Diego Acosta · Off: Jorge Henríquez
34. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Concepción · On: Cristian Riquelme · Off: Mario Sandoval
35. 75′We published D. La Serena at 42%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
36. 81′We published D. La Serena at 42%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
37. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' D. La Serena win: 42% at kick-off, 92% now
38. 84′We published D. La Serena at 42%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
39. 84′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
40. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' D. La Serena 3–1 Concepción
41. 85′Jeisson Vargas scores for D. La Serena on 84′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
42. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' D. La Serena · On: Matias Pinto · Off: Yahir Salazar
43. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' D. La Serena · On: Matías Pérez · Off: Diego Rubio
44. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Concepción · On: Joaquín Montecinos · Off: Ethan Espinoza
45. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Concepción · On: Carlos Escobar · Off: Joaquín Larrivey
46. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' D. La Serena · On: Ángelo Henríquez · Off: Matías Marín
47. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' D. La Serena · On: Milovan Joseph Velásquez Blaset · Off: G. Figueroa
48. 96′Full time, 3–1. We called D. La Serena at 42% — that one lands. 3–1 · 100–0–0
49. FTFULL TIME D. La Serena 3–1 Concepción
50. FTD. La Serena 3–1 Concepción · D. La Serena win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.