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San Antonio Bulo Bulo v Real Tomayapo

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

0–0Full time

Real Tomayapo

Primera División · FRI 9 OCT · Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 22:30

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0–0 Real Tomayapo SAN ANTONIO BULO BULO WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said San Antonio Bulo Bulo win~~57%

~~The market said~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.944

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.910

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said San Antonio Bulo Bulo win at 57%.
1′KICK-OFF San Antonio Bulo Bulo v Real Tomayapo
2′Much as we predicted: San Antonio Bulo Bulo was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–23–20
13′🟨 YELLOW · 13' Josue·Mamani · Real Tomayapo
20′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Kevin Mamani · Real Tomayapo
29′🟥 RED CARD · 28' F. Nouet · Real Tomayapo
32′A red card for Real Tomayapo on 28′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 50–30–20
33′🟨 YELLOW · 32' F. Nouet · Real Tomayapo
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' San Antonio Bulo Bulo win: 57% at kick-off, 46% now
45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Victor Hugo Melgar · Real Tomayapo
45′HALF-TIME San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0–0 Real Tomayapo
45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Real Tomayapo · On: Ricardo Suárez Antelo · Off: Cesar Romero Corrected
45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Real Tomayapo · On: Yordy Álvarez · Off: F. Nouet Corrected
46′SECOND HALF San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0–0 Real Tomayapo
55′SUBSTITUTION · 54' San Antonio Bulo Bulo · On: Ramiro Ballivián · Off: A. Medina Corrected
60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' San Antonio Bulo Bulo · On: Diego Mauricio Mercado Solano · Off: Marcelo De Lima Castro Corrected
61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Cristhian Machado · San Antonio Bulo Bulo
67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Real Tomayapo · On: Javier Guerra · Off: Cristhian Arabe Corrected
67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Real Tomayapo · On: Vladimir Antonio Gálvez Lazcano · Off: Bernabé David Aguirre Aramayo Corrected
73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' San Antonio Bulo Bulo · On: Rodrigo Mauricio Vargas Castillo · Off: Cristhian Machado Corrected
73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' San Antonio Bulo Bulo · On: Hallysson Padilha · Off: Luis Francisco Rodriguez Zegada Corrected
74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Javier Guerra · Real Tomayapo
77′🟥 RED CARD · 76' Kevin Mamani · Real Tomayapo
79′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Ramiro Eguez · Real Tomayapo
82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Real Tomayapo · On: Ruan·Costa de Freitas · Off: Ramiro Eguez Corrected
90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Cristian Ricaldez Rojas · San Antonio Bulo Bulo
FTSan Antonio Bulo Bulo 0–0 Real Tomayapo · San Antonio Bulo Bulo win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

San Antonio Bulo Bulo win57%

Draw24%

Real Tomayapo win20%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 20:00

Venue · Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

4-2-3-1

1 L. Giossa

44 C. Ricaldez

45 S. Villamil

14 L. Yanarico

4 F. Rodriguez

32 A. Campos

15 C. Machado

13 A. Medina

10 A. Terrazas

19 M. De Lima

18 R. Menacho

Coach · Bolivia

Substitutes

12 · L. Guzman

21 · R. Ballivian

29 · Padilha Hallysson

25 · H. Sanchez

30 · J. Villamil

16 · I. Rodriguez

33 · J. Magallanes

26 · C. Romero

6 · Mercado Diego

8 · K. Merida

20 · R. Vargas

38 · N. Lopez

Real Tomayapo

4-1-4-1

1 L. Cardenas

43 C. Aguilera

24 D. Robles

19 Robson

33 K. Mamani

6 V. Melgar

70 B. Aguirre

7 C. Arabe

8 J. Mamani

11 F. Nouet

18 R. Eguez

Coach · Jorge Alfonso

Substitutes

25 · C. Adorno

32 · R. Suarez

15 · J. Guerra

14 · V. Galvez

50 · Y. Alvarez

12 · J. Ribera

35 · J. Castillo

9 · J. N. Orozco Quiroga

27 · Ruan Costa

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

4-2-3-1

1 L. Giossa

44 C. Ricaldez

45 S. Villamil

14 L. Yanarico

4 F. Rodriguez

32 A. Campos

15 C. Machado

13 A. Medina

10 A. Terrazas

19 M. De Lima

18 R. Menacho

Coach · Bolivia

Substitutes

12 · L. Guzman

21 · R. Ballivian

29 · Padilha Hallysson

25 · H. Sanchez

30 · J. Villamil

16 · I. Rodriguez

33 · J. Magallanes

26 · C. Romero

6 · Mercado Diego

8 · K. Merida

20 · R. Vargas

38 · N. Lopez

Real Tomayapo

4-1-4-1

1 L. Cardenas

43 C. Aguilera

24 D. Robles

19 Robson

33 K. Mamani

6 V. Melgar

70 B. Aguirre

7 C. Arabe

8 J. Mamani

11 F. Nouet

18 R. Eguez

Coach · Jorge Alfonso

Substitutes

25 · C. Adorno

32 · R. Suarez

15 · J. Guerra

14 · V. Galvez

50 · Y. Alvarez

12 · J. Ribera

35 · J. Castillo

9 · J. N. Orozco Quiroga

27 · Ruan Costa

Our number · san antonio bulo bulo winPublished 9 Oct 20:02

57% The market53%

Us57%

~~Market~~53%

We make San Antonio Bulo Bulo a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · san antonio bulo bulo win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 55% to 52% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
San Antonio Bulo Bulo win	57%	53%	+4
Draw	24%	24%	0
Real Tomayapo win	20%	23%	−4
Over 2.5 goals	55%	63%	−7
Both teams to score	54%	63%	−9
Over 1.5 goals	79%	82%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	33%	43%	−10
San Antonio Bulo Bulo or draw	80%	77%	+4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo clean sheet	36%	–	–
Real Tomayapo clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%

0123450 6.3 5.0 2.9 1 9.7 11.1 5.3 2 9.6 9.7 4.9 3 6.1 6.1 3.1 4 2.9 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+San Antonio Bulo Bulo down, Real Tomayapo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,573 Primera División matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Primera División matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.1% of games this season, across 160 played.

Head to head

7 previous meetings, 3.14 goals a meeting; 3 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Real Tomayapo away: 0.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.89 goals for San Antonio Bulo Bulo, 1.02 for Real Tomayapo. Most likely score 1–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 9 Oct 19:30. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.14

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 7

~~Both scored~~4 of 7

~~Last meetings~~REA 1–0 SAN · SAN 5–4 REA · REA 1–1 SAN · REA 1–0 SAN

Form · last six in Primera División

SAN ANTONIO BULO BULO

LLLLLW1–4 · 0–4 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 3–1

REAL TOMAYAPO

WDWLLL1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 0–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Always Ready	20	+34	45
2	Bolívar	20	+32	45
3	The Strongest	20	+17	42
4	Real Potosí	20	+13	32
5	Oriente Petrolero	20	+9	30
6	Aurora	20	+4	30
7	Guabirá	20	−7	29
8	Blooming	20	+8	27
9	Nacional Potosí	20	+2	27
10	Independiente Petrolero	20	−8	25
11	Real Oruro	20	−18	21
12	ABB	20	−14	20
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	20	−19	20
14	Universitario de Vinto	20	−13	18
15	Real Tomayapo	20	−24	16
16	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	20	−16	14