Home › Football › Primera División › San Antonio Bulo Bulo v Real Potosí

San Antonio Bulo Bulo v Real Potosí

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

2–1Full time

Real Potosí

Primera División · SAT 24 OCT · Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:01

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2–1 Real Potosí SAN ANTONIO BULO BULO WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said San Antonio Bulo Bulo win~~36%

~~The market said~~34%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.606

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.663

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 40 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said San Antonio Bulo Bulo win at 36%.
1′Little has changed for our model: San Antonio Bulo Bulo 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 36–30–34
1′KICK-OFF San Antonio Bulo Bulo v Real Potosí
31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was San Antonio Bulo Bulo win 34%)
35′We said San Antonio Bulo Bulo at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–9
35′PENALTY · 34' San Antonio Bulo Bulo
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1–0 Real Potosí
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' San Antonio Bulo Bulo win: 36% at kick-off, 70% now
35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' San Antonio Bulo Bulo win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 39%)
37′San Antonio Bulo Bulo ahead on 36′ through Adalid Terrazas. 1–0. 1–0 · 71–21–8
38′⚽ GOAL · 38' San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1–1 Real Potosí
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' San Antonio Bulo Bulo win: 36% at kick-off, 31% now
38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was San Antonio Bulo Bulo win 71%)
40′Hugo Rojas scores for Real Potosí on 39′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 30–41–29
43′GOAL DISALLOWED · 43' Real Potosí
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' San Antonio Bulo Bulo win: 36% at kick-off, 72% now
43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' San Antonio Bulo Bulo win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 41%)
45′SECOND HALF San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1–1 Real Potosí
49′🟨 YELLOW · 45+3' Cristian Ricaldez Rojas · San Antonio Bulo Bulo
50′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 74–20–6
50′⚽ GOAL · 50' San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1–1 Real Potosí
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' San Antonio Bulo Bulo win: 36% at kick-off, 28% now
50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was San Antonio Bulo Bulo win 74%)
50′🟨 YELLOW · 49' J. Thomas · Real Potosí
50′⚽ GOAL · 50' San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2–1 Real Potosí
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' San Antonio Bulo Bulo win: 36% at kick-off, 74% now
50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' San Antonio Bulo Bulo win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 46%)
52′Luis Alí scores for Real Potosí on 45′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 27–48–25 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
52′We said San Antonio Bulo Bulo at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–6
52′51′: Cristián Fernando Martínez puts it into the Real Potosí net, and it is 2–1. 2–1 · 75–20–6
54′HALF-TIME San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1–1 Real Potosí
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' San Antonio Bulo Bulo win: 36% at kick-off, 76% now
62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Real Potosí · On: Jeferson Rivas Tirado · Off: Luis Alí
62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Real Potosí · On: Jose Andres Alipaz · Off: Anderson Brito
62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Real Potosí · On: Igor Soares · Off: J. Thomas
63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' San Antonio Bulo Bulo · On: Luis Francisco Rodriguez Zegada · Off: C. Preciado
63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' San Antonio Bulo Bulo · On: Diego Mauricio Mercado Solano · Off: Cristian Ricaldez Rojas
65′We said San Antonio Bulo Bulo at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' San Antonio Bulo Bulo · On: Ronald Steven Bustos Torrelio · Off: Marcelo De Lima Castro
73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' San Antonio Bulo Bulo · On: R. Menacho · Off: A. Medina
75′We said San Antonio Bulo Bulo at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–1 · 86–13–1
75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' San Antonio Bulo Bulo win: 36% at kick-off, 86% now
78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' San Antonio Bulo Bulo · On: Andy Campos Pinedo · Off: Saulo Guerra
79′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Cristhian Machado · San Antonio Bulo Bulo
79′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Gerardo Maximiliano·Gomez · Real Potosí
80′We said San Antonio Bulo Bulo at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Real Potosí · On: V. Castellón · Off: Gerardo Maximiliano·Gomez
87′We said San Antonio Bulo Bulo at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Ramiro Ballivián · San Antonio Bulo Bulo
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' San Antonio Bulo Bulo win: 36% at kick-off, 96% now
89′🟥 RED CARD · 89' San Antonio Bulo Bulo
90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' G. Umaña · Real Potosí
91′San Antonio Bulo Bulo are down to ten from 89′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–1 · 97–3–0
98′Real Potosí have had 15 attempts to 10 and it is still 2–1. 2–1 · 99–1–0
99′2–1 at the end. Our 36% on San Antonio Bulo Bulo comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2–1 Real Potosí
FTSan Antonio Bulo Bulo 2–1 Real Potosí · San Antonio Bulo Bulo win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with San Antonio Bulo Bulo just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: San Antonio Bulo Bulo 36%, draw 30%, Real Potosí 34%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on San Antonio Bulo Bulo v Real PotosíBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

San Antonio Bulo Bulo win36%

Draw30%

Real Potosí win34%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 22:15

RoundApertura · matchday 23

VenueEstadio Dr. Carlos Villegas

Line-ups

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

4-2-3-1

Real Potosí

5-4-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Real Potosí

7Days since last match3

Last match: 17 Oct · Primera División (Bolivia)

Last match: 21 Oct · Copa de la División Profesional

1Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Real Potosí	22	+15	38
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	22	−20	21

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

4-2-3-1

1 L. Giossa

21 R. Ballivian

29 Hallysson Padilha

14 L. Yanarico

44 C. Ricaldez

17 S. Guerra

15 C. Machado

13 Alexis Medina

10 A. Terrazas

11 C. Preciado

19 Marcelo De Lima

Coach · Bolívia

Substitutes

33 · J. Magallanes

5 · Wagner Vidal

12 · L. Guzman

32 · A. Campos

18 · Rafael Menacho

31 · R. Bustos

40 · Joao Pedro

30 · J. Villamíl

20 · R. Vargas

25 · Huberth Alonso Sánchez Medranda

4 · F. Rodríguez

6 · Diego Mauricio Mercado

Real Potosí

5-4-1

1 C. Martinez

17 D. Cuellar

22 F. Supayabe

4 K. Villegas

44 S. Severiche

19 A. Brito

77 J. Rojas

8 I. Cárdenas

6 Jairo Samuel Thomas Enriquez

11 M. Gómez

23 L. Alí

Coach · Fabio Espada

Substitutes

31 · R. Terrazas

41 · Igor Soares

25 · D. Sandy

18 · Jeferson Rivas

91 · S. Plaza

24 · Ariel Lino

12 · B. Condori

10 · V. Castellón

30 · J. Alipaz

90 · L. Giménez

14 · M. Velásquez

Our number · san antonio bulo bulo winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 24 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

36% The market34%

Us36%

~~Market~~34%

We make San Antonio Bulo Bulo a 36% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.2–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · San Antonio Bulo Bulo v Real Potosí~~1.18 – 1.13

~~Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 26 Aug~~W1 D1 L4 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 21 v 38~~13 v 4

~~The market · San Antonio Bulo Bulo win~~34% · ours 36%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · San Antonio Bulo Bulo win The market, margin stripped

Published at 37%, 36% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 34% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
San Antonio Bulo Bulo win	36%	34%	+2
Draw	30%	26%	+4
Real Potosí win	34%	40%	−6
Over 2.5 goals	40%	53%	−13
Both teams to score	47%	58%	−11
Over 1.5 goals	67%	76%	−9
Over 3.5 goals	20%	33%	−13
San Antonio Bulo Bulo or draw	66%	60%	+6
San Antonio Bulo Bulo clean sheet	33%	–	–
Real Potosí clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.6%

0123450 11.0 10.6 6.3 2.4 1 11.1 13.6 7.3 2.8 2 6.9 7.6 4.3 3 2.8 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+San Antonio Bulo Bulo down, Real Potosí across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,589 Primera División matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera División matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.2% of games this season, across 176 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 4.67 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home: 1.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Real Potosí away: 1.17 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.18 goals for San Antonio Bulo Bulo, 1.13 for Real Potosí. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~4.67

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~REA 4–2 SAN · SAN 3–0 REA · REA 5–0 SAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 26 Aug

SAN ANTONIO BULO BULO

LLLWDL0–3 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 1–2

REAL POTOSÍ

LDWWWW0–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bolívar	22	+34	51
2	Always Ready	22	+35	48
3	The Strongest	22	+17	45
4	Real Potosí	22	+15	38
5	Oriente Petrolero	22	+10	34
6	Aurora	22	+3	31
7	Guabirá	22	−10	30
8	Blooming	22	+7	28
9	Nacional Potosí	22	+1	28
10	Real Oruro	22	−15	27
11	Independiente Petrolero	22	−10	26
12	Universitario de Vinto	22	−14	21
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	22	−20	21
14	ABB	22	−16	20
15	Real Tomayapo	22	−23	20
16	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	22	−14	17