Gualberto Villarroel SJ v Blooming

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gualberto Villarroel SJ win at 49%.
2. 2′Much as we predicted: Gualberto Villarroel SJ was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–26–25
3. 2′KICK-OFF Gualberto Villarroel SJ v Blooming
4. 5′🟨 YELLOW · 4' Joaquín Lencinas · Gualberto Villarroel SJ
5. 9′🟨 YELLOW · 8' Fernando Aguilar Dorado · Gualberto Villarroel SJ
6. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Julio Demian Vila · Blooming
7. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Gualberto Villarroel SJ win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
8. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Marc Enoumba · Blooming
9. 45′HALF-TIME Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0–0 Blooming
10. 46′SECOND HALF Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0–0 Blooming
11. 49′We said Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 0–0 · 37–40–22
12. 51′We published Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 49%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–17–5
13. 51′51′: Alex Caceres on the scoresheet for Gualberto Villarroel SJ, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 78–17–5
14. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+6' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Gualberto Villarroel SJ win 39%)
15. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1–0 Blooming
16. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Gualberto Villarroel SJ win: 49% at kick-off, 78% now
17. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Gualberto Villarroel SJ win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 41%)
18. 53′50′: Alex Caceres on the scoresheet for Gualberto Villarroel SJ, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 79–17–4
19. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Gualberto Villarroel SJ win: 49% at kick-off, 79% now
20. 55′We expected about 2.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 35–44–21 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
21. 56′We said Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–45–21 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
22. 57′We published Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 49%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
23. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Gualberto Villarroel SJ · On: Guimer Justiniano · Off: Fernando Aguilar Dorado
24. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Gualberto Villarroel SJ · On: Roler Ferrufino · Off: Ronaldo Monteiro
25. 62′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 31–50–19
26. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1–1 Blooming
27. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Gualberto Villarroel SJ win: 49% at kick-off, 31% now
28. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Gualberto Villarroel SJ win 81%)
29. 63′Blooming level it on 62′ through Cesar Menacho. 1–1. 1–1 · 30–51–19
30. 65′We said Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–53–18
31. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Guilmar Centella Bazan · Blooming
32. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Gualberto Villarroel SJ win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
33. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Gualberto Villarroel SJ · On: Luis Zeballos · Off: Walter Araujo
34. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Blooming · On: juan gonzales · Off: Guilmar Centella Bazan
35. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Blooming · On: Juan Valverde · Off: Marc Enoumba
36. 71′We said Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–15
37. 76′We published Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 49%. Our model now makes it 87%. 2–1 · 87–12–1
38. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2–1 Blooming
39. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Gualberto Villarroel SJ win: 49% at kick-off, 87% now
40. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Gualberto Villarroel SJ win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 66%)
41. 77′Alex Caceres scores for Gualberto Villarroel SJ on 76′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
42. 78′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 89–10–1
43. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Alex Caceres · Gualberto Villarroel SJ
44. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Blooming · On: Bayron Garcés · Off: Gerardo Cuasace Osinaga
45. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Gualberto Villarroel SJ win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
46. 80′We published Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 49%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
47. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Gualberto Villarroel SJ · On: Rodrigo Asur Orihuela Rivero · Off: J. Ramallo
48. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Gualberto Villarroel SJ · On: Andrés Nicolás Landa Medreno · Off: G. Vaca
49. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Federico Ramos · Blooming
50. 87′We published Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 49%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
51. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Luis Zeballos · Gualberto Villarroel SJ
52. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Eduardo Mauricio Alvarez Vargas · Blooming
53. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Blooming · On: Roberto Carlos Melgar Simoes · Off: Richard Spenhay
54. 90′🟥 RED CARD · 89' Rodrigo Asur Orihuela Rivero · Gualberto Villarroel SJ
55. 91′A red card for Gualberto Villarroel SJ on 89′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–1 · 97–3–0
56. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Cesar Menacho · Blooming
57. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Gualberto Villarroel SJ win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
58. FTFULL TIME Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2–1 Blooming
59. FTGualberto Villarroel SJ 2–1 Blooming · Gualberto Villarroel SJ win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.