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Blooming v Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
Independiente PetroleroPrimera División · SUN 18 OCT · Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Blooming win at 56%.
- 3′Much as we predicted: Blooming was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–23–21
- 3′KICK-OFF Blooming v Independiente Petrolero
- 35′🟨 YELLOW · 32' juan gonzales · Blooming
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Blooming win: 56% at kick-off, 46% now
- 41′Blooming have had 8 attempts to 3 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 46–34–20
- 45′We said Blooming at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–35–20
- 45′HALF-TIME Blooming 0–0 Independiente Petrolero
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Blooming · On: Gerardo Cuasace Osinaga · Off: juan gonzales
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Blooming · On: José María Carrasco · Off: Bayron Garcés
- 46′SECOND HALF Blooming 0–0 Independiente Petrolero
- 57′We said Blooming at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–43–19
- 57′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 38–43–19
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Blooming · On: Cesar Menacho · Off: Moisés Villarroel
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Blooming win 38%)
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Blooming win: 56% at kick-off, 36% now
- 64′We said Blooming at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–17
- 64′Blooming have had 12 attempts to 6 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 34–49–17
- 67′PENALTY MISSED · 63' Cesar Menacho · Blooming
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Independiente Petrolero · On: Alan Mercado · Off: Gustavo Cristaldo
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Independiente Petrolero · On: Lucas Sánchez · Off: Santiago Chavez Suarez
- 70′We said Blooming at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–56–15
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Blooming win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
- 78′We said Blooming at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 0–0 · 20–69–11
- 78′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Lucas Sánchez · Independiente Petrolero
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Blooming · On: Roberto Carlos Melgar Simoes · Off: Guilmar Centella Bazan
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Blooming · On: Miguel Angel Villarroel Tardio · Off: Roberto Hinojosa
- 79′We said Blooming at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–71–10
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Independiente Petrolero · On: Rudy Cardozo · Off: Willie
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Blooming win: 56% at kick-off, 16% now
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Independiente Petrolero · On: Gean Carlos Morais Almeida · Off: Gilbert Alvarez
- 82′We said Blooming at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–8
- 89′We said Blooming at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 0–0 · 7–89–4
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Independiente Petrolero · On: Joel Bejarano Azogue · Off: Jefferson Carioca
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Blooming win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
- 92′We said Blooming at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
- FTFULL TIME Blooming 0–0 Independiente Petrolero
- FTBlooming 0–0 Independiente Petrolero · Blooming win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Blooming are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Blooming 56%, draw 23%, Independiente Petrolero 21%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Blooming win56%
Independiente Petrolero win21%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 00:30
RoundApertura · matchday 22
VenueEstadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera
Match timeline
All events
BloomingMIN
Independiente PetroleroEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Blooming
4-2-3-1
Independiente Petrolero
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Blooming
Independiente Petrolero
Last match: 12 Oct · Primera División (Bolivia)
Last match: 12 Oct · Primera División (Bolivia)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Blooming
4-2-3-1
71 G. Almada
18 J. Gonzales
44 M. Enoumba
22 J. Vila
24 E. Justiniano
19 M. Abisab
6 R. Spenhay
8 M. Villarroel
10 R. Hinojosa
88 G. Centella
29 J. Garces
Coach · Cristian Paulucci
Substitutes
1 · B. Uraezana
28 · E. Alvarez
55 · J. Carrasco
33 · A. Oliveros
82 · J. Miranda
7 · M. Villarroel
2 · M. Cabral
11 · C. Menacho
4 · D. Duran
25 · R. Melgar
79 · G. Cuasace
Independiente Petrolero
4-2-3-1
12 J. Vera
2 S. Torres
50 Roni Santos
3 L. Crescencio
34 G. Mendoza
16 S. Chavez Suarez
6 D. Rojas
19 G. Cristaldo
93 Willie
99 Jeferson Carioca
91 G. Alvarez
Coach · Leitao Thiago
Substitutes
40 · L. Morales
20 · A. Mercado
15 · J. Bejarano
28 · W. Soleto
5 · L. Palma
4 · L. Rodriguez
26 · K. Sanchez
7 · R. Cardozo
39 · P. Grass
68 · D. Morales
9 · Gean
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Blooming
4-2-3-1
71 G. Almada
18 J. Gonzales
44 M. Enoumba
22 J. Vila
24 E. Justiniano
19 M. Abisab
6 R. Spenhay
8 M. Villarroel
10 R. Hinojosa
88 G. Centella
29 J. Garces
Coach · Cristian Paulucci
Substitutes
1 · B. Uraezana
28 · E. Alvarez
55 · J. Carrasco
33 · A. Oliveros
82 · J. Miranda
7 · M. Villarroel
2 · M. Cabral
11 · C. Menacho
4 · D. Duran
25 · R. Melgar
79 · G. Cuasace
Independiente Petrolero
4-2-3-1
12 J. Vera
2 S. Torres
50 Roni Santos
3 L. Crescencio
34 G. Mendoza
16 S. Chavez Suarez
6 D. Rojas
19 G. Cristaldo
93 Willie
99 Jeferson Carioca
91 G. Alvarez
Coach · Leitao Thiago
Substitutes
40 · L. Morales
20 · A. Mercado
15 · J. Bejarano
28 · W. Soleto
5 · L. Palma
4 · L. Rodriguez
26 · K. Sanchez
7 · R. Cardozo
39 · P. Grass
68 · D. Morales
9 · Gean
We make Blooming a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 69%. We are 13 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 69% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blooming win | 56% | 69% | −13 |
| Draw | 23% | 19% | +4 |
| Independiente Petrolero win | 21% | 13% | +8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 65% | −7 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 57% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 84% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 46% | −10 |
| Blooming or draw | 79% | 87% | −8 |
| Blooming clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Independiente Petrolero clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 22 Aug
BLOOMING
INDEPENDIENTE PETROLERO
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 21 | +36 | 48 |
| 2 | Bolívar | 21 | +33 | 48 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 21 | +16 | 42 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 22 | +15 | 38 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 21 | +10 | 33 |
| 6 | Aurora | 21 | +4 | 31 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 21 | −10 | 29 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosí | 21 | +2 | 28 |
| 9 | Blooming | 21 | +7 | 27 |
| 10 | Independiente Petrolero | 21 | −10 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 21 | −16 | 24 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 21 | −19 | 21 |
| 13 | ABB | 22 | −16 | 20 |
| 14 | Real Tomayapo | 22 | −23 | 20 |
| 15 | Universitario de Vinto | 21 | −15 | 18 |
| 16 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 22 | −14 | 17 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Always Ready
Bolívar
The Strongest
Real Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
Aurora
Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
Real Oruro
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
ABB
Real Tomayapo
Universitario de Vinto
Gualberto Villarroel SJ