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Wilstermann Cooperativa v Virginia

Wilstermann Cooperativa

2–2Full time

Virginia

Nacional B · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 22:31

Wilstermann Cooperativa 2–2 Virginia WILSTERMANN COOPERATIVA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Wilstermann Cooperativa win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.975

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Wilstermann Cooperativa win at 50%.
1′Much as we predicted: Wilstermann Cooperativa was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–22–28
2′Much as we predicted: Wilstermann Cooperativa was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–23–28
21′We published Wilstermann Cooperativa at 50%. Our model now makes it 72%. 1–0 · 72–17–11
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 49% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 49% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 49% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 49% now
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 49% now
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 49% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 49% now
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Wilstermann Cooperativa 1–1 Virginia
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 49% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 49% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Wilstermann Cooperativa win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
45′HALF-TIME Wilstermann Cooperativa 1–1 Virginia
46′SECOND HALF Wilstermann Cooperativa 1–1 Virginia
47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Wilstermann Cooperativa 1–1 Virginia
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Wilstermann Cooperativa 1–1 Virginia
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Wilstermann Cooperativa 1–2 Virginia
75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Wilstermann Cooperativa 2–2 Virginia
FTFULL TIME Wilstermann Cooperativa 2–2 Virginia
FTWilstermann Cooperativa 2–2 Virginia · Wilstermann Cooperativa win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Wilstermann Cooperativa win50%

Draw20%

Virginia win30%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 20:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wilstermann cooperativa winPublished 10 Oct 20:07

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Wilstermann Cooperativa a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wilstermann Cooperativa win	50%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Virginia win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Wilstermann Cooperativa or draw	70%	–	–
Wilstermann Cooperativa clean sheet	26%	–	–
Virginia clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.4 6.3 3.7 1 8.1 8.8 6.5 3.1 2 6.7 8.7 5.9 2.8 3 4.3 5.5 3.7 4 2.1 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wilstermann Cooperativa down, Virginia across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 575 Nacional B matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Nacional B matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.3% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Wilstermann Cooperativa at home: 2.17 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Virginia away: 2.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Wilstermann Cooperativa, 1.41 for Virginia. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Nacional B

WILSTERMANN COOPERATIVA

DWLWLW3–3 · 5–4 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 2–3 · 2–1

VIRGINIA

DWWWWD1–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	26 de Febrero	6	+8	15
2	Independiente CBBA	6	+6	15
3	EM Huanuni	6	+9	14
4	Virginia	6	+7	14
5	CD IN San Juan FC	6	+8	13
6	Primero Mayo	6	+1	12
7	Municipal Tiquipaya	6	+11	11
8	Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz	6	+3	11
9	Mineros Potosi	6	+12	10
10	Deportivo FATIC	6	+6	10
11	Wilstermann Cooperativa	6	+3	10
12	Atletico Sucre	6	+7	9
13	Chaco	6	+4	9
14	Unión Tarija	6	+2	9
15	San Martin de Yacuiba	6	−2	9
16	Deportivo Tigres	6	+4	8
17	Club Universitario	6	0	8
18	Hiska Nacional	6	−5	7
19	Ingenieros	6	−7	4
20	Universitario Tarija	6	−12	4
21	CD Guadalajara	6	−6	2
22	Libertad	6	−22	1
23	Universitario Beni	6	−16	0
24	Atletico Juniors	6	−21	0