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Virginia v Wilstermann Cooperativa

Virginia

2–0Full time

Wilstermann Cooperativa

Nacional B · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 22:30

Virginia 2–0 Wilstermann Cooperativa VIRGINIA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Virginia win~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.181

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Virginia win at 65%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Virginia 65% before kick-off, 65% now. 0–0 · 65–18–16
2′KICK-OFF Virginia v Wilstermann Cooperativa
22′We said Virginia at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–12–5
22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Virginia 1–0 Wilstermann Cooperativa
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Virginia win: 65% at kick-off, 83% now
28′GOAL DISALLOWED · 28' Virginia
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Virginia win: 65% at kick-off, 59% now
30′The goal count is tracking the 3.6 we expected. 1–0 · 83–12–5
31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Virginia 1–0 Wilstermann Cooperativa
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Virginia win: 65% at kick-off, 83% now
45′HALF-TIME Virginia 1–0 Wilstermann Cooperativa
46′SECOND HALF Virginia 1–0 Wilstermann Cooperativa
51′We said Virginia at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–34–17 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
65′We said Virginia at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Virginia win: 65% at kick-off, 85% now
79′We said Virginia at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
86′We said Virginia at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Virginia win: 65% at kick-off, 95% now
99′We said Virginia at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
99′⚽ GOAL · 90+9' Virginia 2–0 Wilstermann Cooperativa
100′We said Virginia at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 3–96–1
100′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+10' Virginia
100′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+10' Virginia win: 65% at kick-off, 3% now
100′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+10' Draw is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Virginia win 3%)
101′⚽ GOAL · 90+11' Virginia 2–0 Wilstermann Cooperativa
101′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+11' Virginia win: 65% at kick-off, over 99% now
101′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+11' Virginia win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw under 1%)
FTFULL TIME Virginia 2–0 Wilstermann Cooperativa
FTVirginia 2–0 Wilstermann Cooperativa · Virginia win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Virginia are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Virginia 65%, draw 17%, Wilstermann Cooperativa 18%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Virginia v Wilstermann CooperativaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 16 Oct 10:01 · locked at kick-off

Virginia win65%

Draw17%

Wilstermann Cooperativa win18%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 20:00

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Virginia

Wilstermann Cooperativa

6Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · Nacional B

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Wilstermann Cooperativa	6	+3	10
1	Virginia	6	+7	14
1	Wilstermann Cooperativa	6	+3	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · virginia winFirst published 16 Oct 10:01 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Virginia a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Virginia v Wilstermann Cooperativa~~2.45 – 1.16

~~Form · last six in Nacional B this season · since 27 Aug~~W4 D2 L0 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 14 v 10~~1 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Virginia win	65%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Wilstermann Cooperativa win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Virginia or draw	82%	–	–
Virginia clean sheet	33%	–	–
Wilstermann Cooperativa clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.8%

0123450 2.6 4.2 2.0 1 7.7 7.2 4.4 2 8.1 8.8 5.0 3 6.4 7.0 4.0 4 4.0 4.3 2.5 5 2.1 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Virginia down, Wilstermann Cooperativa across0–5 goals a side shown (94.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 583 Nacional B matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Nacional B matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Virginia at home: 1.33 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 3). Wilstermann Cooperativa away: 1.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.45 goals for Virginia, 1.16 for Wilstermann Cooperativa. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~WIL 2–2 VIR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Nacional B this season · since 27 Aug

VIRGINIA

WWWWDD2–0 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–2

WILSTERMANN COOPERATIVA

WLWLWD5–4 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 2–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	EM Huanuni	6	+9	14
2	Deportivo FATIC	6	+6	10
3	Atletico Sucre	6	+7	9
4	Libertad	6	−22	1
1	26 de Febrero	6	+8	15
2	Chaco	6	+4	9
3	Hiska Nacional	6	−5	7
4	Ingenieros	6	−7	4
1	Independiente CBBA	6	+6	15
2	Mineros Potosi	6	+12	10
3	Wilstermann Cooperativa	6	+3	10
4	Atletico Juniors	6	−21	0
1	Virginia	6	+7	14
2	Municipal Tiquipaya	6	+11	11
3	San Martin de Yacuiba	6	−2	9
4	Universitario Beni	6	−16	0
1	CD IN San Juan FC	6	+8	13
2	Deportivo Tigres	6	+4	8
3	Club Universitario	6	0	8
4	Universitario Tarija	6	−12	4
1	Primero Mayo	6	+1	12
2	Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz	6	+3	11
3	Unión Tarija	6	+2	9
4	CD Guadalajara	6	−6	2
1	Wilstermann Cooperativa	6	+3	10
2	Atletico Sucre	6	+7	9
3	Unión Tarija	6	+2	9
4	San Martin de Yacuiba	6	−2	9
5	Club Universitario	6	0	8
6	Hiska Nacional	6	−5	7