Mineros Potosi v Independiente CBBA prediction · Nacional B

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Mineros PotosiDrawIndependiente CBBA

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Mineros Potosi 63%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mineros Potosi are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mineros Potosi 63%, draw 17%, Independiente CBBA 20%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Mineros Potosi v Independiente CBBABefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off

Mineros Potosi win63%

Draw17%

Independiente CBBA win20%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 19:00

RoundQuarter-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mineros Potosi

Independiente CBBA

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Nacional B

Last match: 17 Oct · Nacional B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mineros potosi winFirst published 22 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off

63% The market–

Us63%

We make Mineros Potosi a 63% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Mineros Potosi v Independiente CBBA~~2.44 – 1.26

~~Form · last six in Nacional B this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 10 v 15~~2 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mineros Potosi win	63%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Independiente CBBA win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Mineros Potosi or draw	80%	–	–
Mineros Potosi clean sheet	29%	–	–
Independiente CBBA clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.8%

0123450 2.2 4.1 2.2 1 7.1 7.0 4.7 2.0 2 7.4 8.8 5.4 2.3 3 5.9 7.0 4.3 4 3.6 4.3 2.7 5 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Mineros Potosi down, Independiente CBBA across0–5 goals a side shown (94.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 592 Nacional B matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Nacional B matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.6% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2026 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Mineros Potosi at home: 4.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 4). Independiente CBBA away: 1.00 scored, 1.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.44 goals for Mineros Potosi, 1.26 for Independiente CBBA. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~MIN 4–1 IND · IND 1–0 MIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Nacional B this season · since 5 Sept

MINEROS POTOSI

WWWLWL5–1 · 4–1 · 7–0 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 1–4

INDEPENDIENTE CBBA

WLWWLW1–0 · 1–4 · 3–2 · 4–0 · 0–1 · 3–0

The table

2026 · Regular season · group 3

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Independiente CBBA	6	+6	15
2	Mineros Potosi	6	+12	10
3	Wilstermann Cooperativa	6	+3	10
4	Atletico Juniors	6	−21	0

The competition's standings before kick-off.

Mineros Potosi v Independiente CBBA

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Rest & schedule

Mineros Potosi

Independiente CBBA

The game in numbers

League table

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · last six in Nacional B this season · since 5 Sept

The table