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Deportivo Tigres v Virginia
Deportivo TigresVirginiaNacional B · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Deportivo Tigres win at 54%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Deportivo Tigres was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–23–23
- 1′KICK-OFF Deportivo Tigres v Virginia
- 19′We published Deportivo Tigres at 54%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–16–6
- 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Deportivo Tigres 1–0 Virginia
- 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Deportivo Tigres win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 78–16–6
- 41′We published Deportivo Tigres at 54%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–5
- 41′We published Deportivo Tigres at 54%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Deportivo Tigres 2–0 Virginia
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Deportivo Tigres win: 54% at kick-off, 95% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Deportivo Tigres 2–0 Virginia
- 45′SECOND HALF Deportivo Tigres 2–0 Virginia
- 59′🟥 RED CARD · 59' -1 · Deportivo Tigres
- 80′We published Deportivo Tigres at 54%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 90′Full time, 2–0. We called Deportivo Tigres at 54% — that one lands. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Deportivo Tigres 2–0 Virginia
- FTDeportivo Tigres 2–0 Virginia · Deportivo Tigres win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Deportivo Tigres are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Deportivo Tigres 54%, draw 23%, Virginia 23%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 46%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off
Deportivo Tigres win54%Virginia win23%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 00:00
RoundQuarter-finals
Match timeline
All events
Deportivo TigresMINVirginiaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Deportivo Tigres
Virginia
Last match: 18 Oct · Nacional B
Last match: 16 Oct · Nacional B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Deportivo Tigres a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Tigres win | 54% | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – |
| Virginia win | 23% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 46% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | – | – |
| Deportivo Tigres or draw | 77% | – | – |
| Deportivo Tigres clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
| Virginia clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Nacional B this season · since 4 Sept
DEPORTIVO TIGRES
VIRGINIA