Deportivo Tigres v Primero Mayo prediction · Nacional B

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 22:30

Deportivo Tigres 0–0 Primero Mayo DEPORTIVO TIGRES WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Deportivo Tigres win~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.980

Corrected on 16 Oct: this prediction was last updated after the match had started (it kicked off on 10 Oct 20:00), so it is shown but not counted in the record’s figures.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Deportivo Tigres win55%

Draw21%

Primero Mayo win24%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 20:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Deportivo Tigres

Primero Mayo

14Days since last match14

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Primero Mayo	6	+1	12
16	Deportivo Tigres	6	+4	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · deportivo tigres winPublished 11 Oct 09:04

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Deportivo Tigres a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Deportivo Tigres win	55%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Primero Mayo win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Deportivo Tigres or draw	76%	–	–
Deportivo Tigres clean sheet	35%	–	–
Primero Mayo clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.2%

0123450 5.4 7.3 3.4 1 11.2 9.7 5.6 2.1 2 9.0 9.2 4.9 3 5.4 5.6 3.0 4 2.6 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Deportivo Tigres down, Primero Mayo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 577 Nacional B matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Nacional B matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.1% of games this season, across 74 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Deportivo Tigres at home: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 3). Primero Mayo away: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.80 goals for Deportivo Tigres, 1.07 for Primero Mayo. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Nacional B

DEPORTIVO TIGRES

LDDWWL0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 4–0 · 0–1

PRIMERO MAYO

WWWLWL3–2 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 0–4 · 2–0 · 1–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	26 de Febrero	7	+7	15
2	Virginia	7	+7	15
3	Independiente CBBA	6	+6	15
4	EM Huanuni	6	+9	14
5	CD IN San Juan FC	6	+8	13
6	Deportivo FATIC	7	+7	13
7	Primero Mayo	6	+1	12
8	Municipal Tiquipaya	6	+11	11
9	Wilstermann Cooperativa	7	+3	11
10	Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz	6	+3	11
11	Mineros Potosi	6	+12	10
12	Atletico Sucre	6	+7	9
13	Chaco	6	+4	9
14	Unión Tarija	6	+2	9
15	San Martin de Yacuiba	6	−2	9
16	Deportivo Tigres	6	+4	8
17	Club Universitario	6	0	8
18	Hiska Nacional	6	−5	7
19	Ingenieros	6	−7	4
20	Universitario Tarija	6	−12	4
21	CD Guadalajara	6	−6	2
22	Libertad	6	−22	1
23	Universitario Beni	6	−16	0
24	Atletico Juniors	6	−21	0