Chaco v CD IN San Juan FC prediction · Nacional B

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 00:30

Chaco 0–4 CD IN San Juan FC CD IN SAN JUAN FC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said CD IN San Juan FC win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.434

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Chaco win35%

Draw18%

CD IN San Juan FC win47%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 19:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Chaco

CD IN San Juan FC

14Days since last match14

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	CD IN San Juan FC	6	+8	13
13	Chaco	6	+4	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cd in san juan fc winPublished 11 Oct 23:32

47% The market–

Us47%

We make CD IN San Juan FC a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–2.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Chaco win	35%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
CD IN San Juan FC win	47%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	–	–
Chaco or draw	53%	–	–
Chaco clean sheet	13%	–	–
CD IN San Juan FC clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.2%

0123450 4.8 4.4 3.2 1 4.4 6.5 7.2 5.2 3.0 2 3.4 6.5 6.4 4.4 2.5 3 2.2 4.1 4.0 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Chaco down, CD IN San Juan FC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 577 Nacional B matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Nacional B matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.1% of games this season, across 74 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Chaco at home: 2.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). CD IN San Juan FC away: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.82 goals for Chaco, 2.21 for CD IN San Juan FC. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~CDI 5–1 CHA · CHA 1–1 CDI

Form · last six in Nacional B

CHACO

LWLLWW1–4 · 3–2 · 2–4 · 2–3 · 5–1 · 6–1

CD IN SAN JUAN FC

WDWWLW1–0 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 1–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	26 de Febrero	7	+7	15
2	Virginia	7	+7	15
3	Independiente CBBA	6	+6	15
4	EM Huanuni	6	+9	14
5	CD IN San Juan FC	6	+8	13
6	Deportivo FATIC	7	+7	13
7	Primero Mayo	6	+1	12
8	Municipal Tiquipaya	6	+11	11
9	Wilstermann Cooperativa	7	+3	11
10	Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz	6	+3	11
11	Mineros Potosi	6	+12	10
12	Atletico Sucre	6	+7	9
13	Chaco	6	+4	9
14	Unión Tarija	6	+2	9
15	San Martin de Yacuiba	6	−2	9
16	Deportivo Tigres	6	+4	8
17	Club Universitario	6	0	8
18	Hiska Nacional	6	−5	7
19	Ingenieros	6	−7	4
20	Universitario Tarija	6	−12	4
21	CD Guadalajara	6	−6	2
22	Libertad	6	−22	1
23	Universitario Beni	6	−16	0
24	Atletico Juniors	6	−21	0