Triangle United v Simba Bhora prediction · Premier Soccer League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Triangle UnitedDrawSimba Bhora

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Simba Bhora 34%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Simba Bhora just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Triangle United 32%, draw 34%, Simba Bhora 34%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Triangle United v Simba BhoraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Triangle United win32%

Draw34%

Simba Bhora win34%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 32

VenueGibbo Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Triangle United

Simba Bhora

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Simba Bhora	31	0	39
16	Triangle United	31	−17	24

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · simba bhora winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

34% The market–

Us34%

We make Simba Bhora a 34% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.0, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Triangle United v Simba Bhora~~0.95 – 0.98

~~Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 1 Aug~~W2 D3 L1 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 24 v 39~~16 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Triangle United win	32%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
Simba Bhora win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	31%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	59%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	13%	–	–
Triangle United or draw	66%	–	–
Triangle United clean sheet	38%	–	–
Simba Bhora clean sheet	39%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.7%

0123450 15.7 13.0 7.0 2.3 1 12.6 14.5 6.6 2.2 2 6.5 6.4 3.1 3 2.1 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Triangle United down, Simba Bhora across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,810 Premier Soccer League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.0% of games this season, across 281 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2023 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Triangle United at home: 0.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Simba Bhora away: 0.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.95 goals for Triangle United, 0.98 for Simba Bhora. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~SIM 1–1 TRI · TRI 0–0 SIM · SIM 4–0 TRI · TRI 1–1 SIM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 1 Aug

TRIANGLE UNITED

DWDWDL0–0 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–3

SIMBA BHORA

DLDLDW1–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 2–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hardrock	31	+35	66
2	Scotland Mabvuku	30	+34	61
3	Ngezi Platinum	32	+13	56
4	Dynamos	32	+17	52
5	CAPS United	31	+11	51
6	Herentals	32	−1	48
7	MWOS	31	+10	45
8	Highlanders	31	+4	43
9	Platinum	32	0	43
10	Chicken Inn	31	−1	43
11	Simba Bhora	31	0	39
12	Hunters	31	−10	35
13	Kariba	32	−9	33
14	Bulawayo Chiefs	31	−12	31
15	Agama	31	−21	28
16	Triangle United	31	−17	24
17	TelOne	31	−23	22
18	Manica Diamonds	31	−30	21