TelOne v Hunters prediction · Premier Soccer League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

TelOne 2–3 Hunters TELONE WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said TelOne win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.897

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said TelOne win at 45%.
11′Little has changed for our model: TelOne 45% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–34–23
35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was TelOne win 37%)
37′Hunters find the net on 27′. 0–0 · 37–43–21
39′We said TelOne at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–8–89
39′⚽ GOAL · 25' TelOne 0–2 Hunters
39′⚽ GOAL · 27' TelOne 0–2 Hunters
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' TelOne win: 45% at kick-off, 2% now
39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Hunters win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 8%)
45′Hunters find the net on 27′. 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
45′We said TelOne at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–7–91
45′HALF-TIME TelOne 0–2 Hunters
52′SECOND HALF TelOne 0–2 Hunters
69′A goal for TelOne on 69′. 0–2 · 0–3–97
70′A goal for TelOne on 55′. 0–2 · 0–2–97
72′3 goals already, more than the 2.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 2–17–81
72′⚽ GOAL · 55' TelOne 1–2 Hunters
80′Hunters find the net on 80′. 1–2 · 1–11–88
81′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.0 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–1–99
81′⚽ GOAL · 80' TelOne 1–3 Hunters
82′A goal for TelOne on 72′. 1–3 · 0–1–99
84′5 goals already, more than the 2.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–7–93
84′⚽ GOAL · 72' TelOne 2–3 Hunters
FTFULL TIME TelOne 2–3 Hunters
FTTelOne 2–3 Hunters · TelOne win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

TelOne are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: TelOne 45%, draw 32%, Hunters 23%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on TelOne v HuntersBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

TelOne win45%

Draw32%

Hunters win23%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 31

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

TelOne

Hunters

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Hunters	30	−11	32
17	TelOne	30	−22	22

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · telone winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make TelOne a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · TelOne v Hunters~~1.22 – 0.79

~~Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 26 July~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 22 v 32~~17 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
TelOne win	45%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
Hunters win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	33%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	15%	–	–
TelOne or draw	77%	–	–
TelOne clean sheet	46%	–	–
Hunters clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.2%

0123450 14.8 9.5 4.3 1 15.2 13.8 5.0 2 9.9 7.7 3.0 3 4.1 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+TelOne down, Hunters across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,799 Premier Soccer League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.7% of games this season, across 270 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

TelOne at home: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Hunters away: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.22 goals for TelOne, 0.79 for Hunters. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~HUN 1–1 TEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 26 July

TELONE

WLLLDD1–0 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–4 · 2–2 · 0–0

HUNTERS

LDLDWW0–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hardrock	30	+34	63
2	Scotland Mabvuku	30	+34	61
3	Ngezi Platinum	30	+11	52
4	Dynamos	30	+18	51
5	CAPS United	30	+9	48
6	Herentals	30	+3	48
7	MWOS	30	+7	42
8	Highlanders	30	+4	42
9	Chicken Inn	30	−1	42
10	Platinum	30	−1	40
11	Simba Bhora	30	−1	36
12	Kariba	30	−8	32
13	Hunters	30	−11	32
14	Bulawayo Chiefs	30	−10	31
15	Agama	30	−22	25
16	Triangle United	30	−14	24
17	TelOne	30	−22	22
18	Manica Diamonds	30	−30	20