Ngezi Platinum v Dynamos prediction · Premier Soccer League

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Ngezi Platinum 1–1 Dynamos NGEZI PLATINUM WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ngezi Platinum win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.671

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ngezi Platinum are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ngezi Platinum 43%, draw 34%, Dynamos 22%. Over 2.5 goals 27%, both teams to score 34%.

The AI’s read on Ngezi Platinum v DynamosBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Ngezi Platinum win43%

Draw34%

Dynamos win22%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 32

VenueNgezi Baobab Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ngezi Platinum

Dynamos

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Ngezi Platinum	31	+13	55
4	Dynamos	31	+17	51

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ngezi platinum winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Ngezi Platinum a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.7, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ngezi Platinum v Dynamos~~1.09 – 0.70

~~Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 1 Aug~~W4 D2 L0 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 55 v 51~~3 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ngezi Platinum win	43%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
Dynamos win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	27%	–	–
Both teams to score	34%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	54%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	11%	–	–
Ngezi Platinum or draw	78%	–	–
Ngezi Platinum clean sheet	50%	–	–
Dynamos clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.0%

0123450 18.0 10.6 4.1 1 17.1 13.6 4.4 2 9.8 6.9 2.4 3 3.6 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ngezi Platinum down, Dynamos across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,807 Premier Soccer League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.9% of games this season, across 278 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.10 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ngezi Platinum at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Dynamos away: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.09 goals for Ngezi Platinum, 0.70 for Dynamos. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.10

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~DYN 2–1 NGE · DYN 1–1 NGE · NGE 2–1 DYN · NGE 2–0 DYN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 1 Aug

NGEZI PLATINUM

WWDDWW1–0 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 2–0

DYNAMOS

DLDWDL1–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hardrock	31	+35	66
2	Scotland Mabvuku	30	+34	61
3	Ngezi Platinum	31	+13	55
4	Dynamos	31	+17	51
5	CAPS United	31	+11	51
6	Herentals	31	+2	48
7	MWOS	31	+10	45
8	Highlanders	31	+4	43
9	Chicken Inn	30	−1	42
10	Platinum	31	−3	40
11	Simba Bhora	31	0	39
12	Hunters	31	−10	35
13	Kariba	31	−9	32
14	Bulawayo Chiefs	31	−12	31
15	Agama	31	−21	28
16	Triangle United	31	−17	24
17	TelOne	31	−23	22
18	Manica Diamonds	31	−30	21