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Manica Diamonds v TelOne

Manica Diamonds

0–0Full time

TelOne

Premier Soccer League · SAT 10 OCT · Sakubva Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Manica Diamonds 0–0 TelOne MANICA DIAMONDS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Manica Diamonds win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.645

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Manica Diamonds win38%

Draw35%

TelOne win27%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

Venue · Sakubva Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · manica diamonds winPublished 10 Oct 16:17

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Manica Diamonds a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Manica Diamonds win	38%	–	–
Draw	35%	–	–
TelOne win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	27%	–	–
Both teams to score	36%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	55%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	11%	–	–
Manica Diamonds or draw	73%	–	–
Manica Diamonds clean sheet	45%	–	–
TelOne clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 17.6%

0123450 17.6 12.1 5.3 1 15.3 14.2 5.3 2 8.2 6.6 2.7 3 2.8 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Manica Diamonds down, TelOne across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,792 Premier Soccer League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.2% of games this season, across 263 played.

Head to head

7 previous meetings, 2.14 goals a meeting; 3 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Manica Diamonds at home: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). TelOne away: 0.50 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.00 goals for Manica Diamonds, 0.81 for TelOne. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2019

~~Goals a meeting~~2.14

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 7

~~Both scored~~4 of 7

~~Last meetings~~TEL 1–2 MAN · TEL 0–1 MAN · MAN 2–2 TEL · MAN 0–0 TEL

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League

MANICA DIAMONDS

LWLLLL0–1 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–1

TELONE

LWLLLD0–1 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–4 · 2–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland Mabvuku	29	+35	61
2	Hardrock	29	+32	60
3	Ngezi Platinum	30	+11	52
4	Dynamos	30	+18	51
5	Herentals	29	+5	48
6	CAPS United	29	+9	47
7	Highlanders	30	+4	42
8	Chicken Inn	29	−1	41
9	MWOS	29	+5	39
10	Platinum	29	−1	39
11	Simba Bhora	29	−1	35
12	Bulawayo Chiefs	29	−8	31
13	Kariba	29	−9	29
14	Hunters	29	−12	29
15	Agama	29	−21	25
16	Triangle United	30	−14	24
17	TelOne	29	−22	21
18	Manica Diamonds	29	−30	19