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Kariba v Scotland Mabvuku

Kariba
1–0Full time
Scotland Mabvuku

Premier Soccer League · SAT 10 OCT · Nyamhunga Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30
Kariba 1–0 Scotland Mabvuku SCOTLAND MABVUKU WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Scotland Mabvuku win45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.972

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 6 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Scotland Mabvuku win at 45%.
  2. 45′We said Scotland Mabvuku at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 17–51–33
  3. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Scotland Mabvuku win: 45% at kick-off, 33% now
  4. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Scotland Mabvuku win 33%)
  5. 55′SECOND HALF Kariba 0–0 Scotland Mabvuku
  6. 58′We said Scotland Mabvuku at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 0–0 · 14–60–26
  7. 69′⚽ GOAL · 64' Kariba 0–0 Scotland Mabvuku
  8. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Kariba 1–0 Scotland Mabvuku
  9. FTFULL TIME Kariba 1–0 Scotland Mabvuku
  10. FTKariba 1–0 Scotland Mabvuku · Scotland Mabvuku win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Kariba win20%
Draw35%
Scotland Mabvuku win45%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

Venue · Nyamhunga Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · scotland mabvuku winPublished 10 Oct 14:40
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Scotland Mabvuku a 45% chance to win. The model expects 0.6–1.1, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 20%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kariba win20%––
Draw35%––
Scotland Mabvuku win45%––
Over 2.5 goals23%––
Both teams to score30%––
Over 1.5 goals51%––
Over 3.5 goals9%––
Kariba or draw55%––
Kariba clean sheet35%––
Scotland Mabvuku clean sheet55%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 20.1%
0123450 20.1 19.0 10.6 3.8 1 10.4 13.0 6.4 2.3 2 3.5 3.6 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kariba down, Scotland Mabvuku across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.51 of 3
Both scored1 of 3
Last meetingsSCO 0–0 KAR · SCO 2–1 KAR · KAR 0–0 SCO

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League

KARIBA

WLDLDL1–0 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–4 · 0–0 · 0–1

SCOTLAND MABVUKU

WDDWDW2–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 3–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Scotland Mabvuku29+3561
2Hardrock29+3260
3Ngezi Platinum30+1152
4Dynamos30+1851
5Herentals29+548
6CAPS United29+947
7Highlanders30+442
8Chicken Inn29−141
9MWOS29+539
10Platinum29−139
11Simba Bhora29−135
12Bulawayo Chiefs29−831
13Kariba29−929
14Hunters29−1229
15Agama29−2125
16Triangle United30−1424
17TelOne29−2221
18Manica Diamonds29−3019

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.