Highlanders v Manica Diamonds prediction · Premier Soccer League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

Highlanders 0–0 Manica Diamonds HIGHLANDERS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Highlanders win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.689

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Highlanders win at 47%.
8′Little has changed for our model: Highlanders 47% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–36–18
31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Highlanders win 39%)
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Highlanders win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
42′We said Highlanders at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–49–16
44′We said Highlanders at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–50–16
45′HALF-TIME Highlanders 0–0 Manica Diamonds
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Highlanders win: 47% at kick-off, 33% now
49′SECOND HALF Highlanders 0–0 Manica Diamonds
55′We said Highlanders at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–57–14
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Highlanders win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
65′We said Highlanders at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–66–11
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Highlanders win: 47% at kick-off, 23% now
70′We said Highlanders at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–71–10
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Highlanders win: 47% at kick-off, 16% now
77′We said Highlanders at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–79–7
82′We said Highlanders at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–87–5
85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Highlanders win: 47% at kick-off, 6% now
89′We said Highlanders at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
FTFULL TIME Highlanders 0–0 Manica Diamonds
FTHighlanders 0–0 Manica Diamonds · Highlanders win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Highlanders are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Highlanders 47%, draw 34%, Manica Diamonds 18%. Over 2.5 goals 24%, both teams to score 30%.

The AI’s read on Highlanders v Manica DiamondsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Highlanders win47%

Draw34%

Manica Diamonds win18%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 31

VenueBarbourfields Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Highlanders

Manica Diamonds

10Days since last match8

Last match: 8 Oct · Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe)

Last match: 10 Oct · Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Highlanders	30	+4	42
18	Manica Diamonds	30	−30	20

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · highlanders winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Highlanders a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.6, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 20%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Highlanders v Manica Diamonds~~1.11 – 0.58

~~Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 26 July~~W1 D2 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 42 v 20~~8 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Highlanders win	47%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
Manica Diamonds win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	24%	–	–
Both teams to score	30%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	51%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	9%	–	–
Highlanders or draw	82%	–	–
Highlanders clean sheet	56%	–	–
Manica Diamonds clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 19.6%

0123450 19.6 9.8 3.1 1 19.5 12.7 3.4 2 11.3 6.5 3 4.2 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Highlanders down, Manica Diamonds across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,806 Premier Soccer League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.0% of games this season, across 277 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.40 goals a meeting; 1 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Highlanders at home: 1.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Manica Diamonds away: 0.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.11 goals for Highlanders, 0.58 for Manica Diamonds. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.40

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 10

~~Both scored~~2 of 10

~~Last meetings~~MAN 0–0 HIG · HIG 1–1 MAN · MAN 0–1 HIG · MAN 1–0 HIG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 26 July

HIGHLANDERS

LDWDLL2–4 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–1

MANICA DIAMONDS

WLLLLD1–0 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hardrock	31	+35	66
2	Scotland Mabvuku	30	+34	61
3	Ngezi Platinum	31	+13	55
4	Dynamos	31	+17	51
5	CAPS United	31	+11	51
6	Herentals	31	+2	48
7	MWOS	31	+10	45
8	Highlanders	30	+4	42
9	Chicken Inn	30	−1	42
10	Platinum	31	−3	40
11	Simba Bhora	31	0	39
12	Hunters	31	−10	35
13	Kariba	31	−9	32
14	Bulawayo Chiefs	31	−12	31
15	Agama	31	−21	28
16	Triangle United	31	−17	24
17	TelOne	31	−23	22
18	Manica Diamonds	30	−30	20