Herentals v Platinum prediction · Premier Soccer League

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Herentals 0–3 Platinum DRAW · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTUNDER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said a draw~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.763

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 38%.
1′Much as we predicted: the draw was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 34–38–29
1′KICK-OFF Herentals v Platinum
11′A goal for Platinum on 10′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 10–22–68
11′We said the draw at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 10–22–68
11′⚽ GOAL · 10' Herentals 0–1 Platinum
11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Draw: 38% at kick-off, 22% now
11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' Platinum win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 40%)
21′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Platinum
35′Goals are coming at about the 1.6 we expected. 0–1 · 6–21–72
45′HALF-TIME Herentals 0–1 Platinum
46′SECOND HALF Herentals 0–1 Platinum
49′We said the draw at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 4–19–76
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+9' Draw: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
62′We said the draw at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 0–2–98
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Herentals 0–2 Platinum
62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Draw: 38% at kick-off, 2% now
72′Platinum score on 53′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
72′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Herentals
76′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Herentals
98′That is 3, and we only asked for 1.6 across ninety minutes. 0–3 · 0–0–100
98′Platinum find the net on 90′. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
98′⚽ GOAL · 90+8' Herentals 0–3 Platinum
FTFULL TIME Herentals 0–3 Platinum
FTHerentals 0–3 Platinum · Draw: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Under 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Herentals 34%, draw 38%, Platinum 29%. Over 2.5 goals 21%, both teams to score 31%.

The AI’s read on Herentals v PlatinumBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Herentals win34%

Draw38%

Platinum win29%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Herentals

Platinum

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Herentals	31	+2	48
10	Platinum	31	−3	40

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make the draw a 38% chance. The model expects 0.8–0.7, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 22%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Herentals v Platinum~~0.84 – 0.75

~~Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 31 July~~W2 D0 L4 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 48 v 40~~6 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Herentals win	34%	–	–
Draw	38%	–	–
Platinum win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	21%	–	–
Both teams to score	31%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	48%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	8%	–	–
Herentals or draw	71%	–	–
Herentals clean sheet	47%	–	–
Platinum clean sheet	43%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 21.7%

0123450 21.7 14.3 5.8 1 16.1 13.7 4.8 2 7.2 5.3 3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Herentals down, Platinum across0–5 goals a side shown (100.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,807 Premier Soccer League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.9% of games this season, across 278 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.30 goals a meeting; 1 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Herentals at home: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Platinum away: 0.33 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.84 goals for Herentals, 0.75 for Platinum. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.30

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 10

~~Both scored~~1 of 10

~~Last meetings~~PLA 0–1 HER · PLA 0–0 HER · HER 0–0 PLA · PLA 3–1 HER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 31 July

HERENTALS

WLWLLL2–0 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 1–2

PLATINUM

DWDWDL1–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hardrock	31	+35	66
2	Scotland Mabvuku	30	+34	61
3	Ngezi Platinum	31	+13	55
4	Dynamos	31	+17	51
5	CAPS United	31	+11	51
6	Herentals	31	+2	48
7	MWOS	31	+10	45
8	Highlanders	31	+4	43
9	Chicken Inn	30	−1	42
10	Platinum	31	−3	40
11	Simba Bhora	31	0	39
12	Hunters	31	−10	35
13	Kariba	31	−9	32
14	Bulawayo Chiefs	31	−12	31
15	Agama	31	−21	28
16	Triangle United	31	−17	24
17	TelOne	31	−23	22
18	Manica Diamonds	31	−30	21